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末段高层反导装备PHM多socket仿真分析
引用本文:陈士涛,杨建军,邓铁柱. 末段高层反导装备PHM多socket仿真分析[J]. 现代防御技术, 2012, 40(3): 149-154,160
作者姓名:陈士涛  杨建军  邓铁柱
作者单位:1. 空军工程大学导弹学院,陕西三原,713800
2. 空军驻航天二院206所军代室,北京,100854
摘    要:
详细分析了独立于LRU的PHM方法和基于故障征兆预测的PHM方法的预测原理。利用LRU和PHM的MTBF概率分布和socket的全寿命周期费用建立仿真模型,介绍模型仿真方法与详细过程。研究了末段高层反导武器系统单socket全寿命周期费用与安全极限和预测距离的关系。引入同步时间的概念,利用单socket模型的方法优化多socket组成的系统。模型仿真结果更贴近末段高层反导装备实际,比单socket模型更有应用价值。

关 键 词:末段高层反导装备  预测与健康管理技术  独立于LRU的PHM方法  基于故障征兆预测  多socket  同步时间

Simulation Analysis of PHM Multiple Socket Model for the Terminal High Altitude Antiballistic Missile Equipment
CHEN Shi-tao , YANG Jian-jun , DENG Tie-zhu. Simulation Analysis of PHM Multiple Socket Model for the Terminal High Altitude Antiballistic Missile Equipment[J]. Modern Defence Technology, 2012, 40(3): 149-154,160
Authors:CHEN Shi-tao    YANG Jian-jun    DENG Tie-zhu
Affiliation:1.AFEU,Missile Institute,Shaanxi Sanyuan 713800,China; 2.The Military Representative Office of PLA Assigned to the 206th Institute of CASIC,Beijing 100854,China)
Abstract:
The forecast theories of LRU-independent methods and precursor to failure monitoring are analyzed in detail.A multiple socket model is built by utilizing the probability density function of MTBF and LCC of socket for modeling,and the simulating method and its particular process are introduced.Then,the relations between single socket LCC of terminal high altitude antiballistic missile weapon system and safety margin or prognostic distance are studied.The conception of coincident time is introduced,and then the single socket model is used to optimize system which is composed of multiple sockets.Simulation results presses close to terminal high altitude antiballistic missile equipment and is much more valuable than single socket model.
Keywords:terminal high altitude antiballistic missile equipment  prognostics and health management(PHM)  LRU-independent methods  precursor to failure monitoring  multiple socket  coincident time
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