成败型产品的Bayes鉴定试验方案研究

利用可靠性增长模型给出了成败型产品鉴定试验的一种Bayes方法.提出了Bayes鉴定试验的最大后验风险准则,利用这种准则制定的鉴定试验方案综合了产品研制过程中的先验信息.在确保产品质量的前提下,与传统的鉴定试验方案相比,将大大节省试验时间.

A Bayesian plan of qualification test for product in binomial case

This paper gives a Bayesian plan of qualification test for production in binomial case by the reliability growth model, and the maximum posterior risk criterion for the Bayesian qualification test is proposed. The plan of qualification test made by this criterion synthesizes large amount of prior data and plentiful engineering experience in the research process, thus a great deal of testing time is saved by using this plan on the premise that the quality of products can be ensured as compared with any other traditional plans.