| 期望概率方法在火灾风险评估中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 李建宇.期望概率方法在火灾风险评估中的应用[J].中国人民武装警察部队学院学报,2009,25(12):35-37. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李建宇 |
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| 作者单位： | 山西省消防总队,山西太原030001 |
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| 摘 要： | 在对传统方法与期望概率方法所得结果进行比较的基础上,应用期望概率方法对中国古建筑火灾损失和中国19502006年火灾损失进行风险评估,得到应用期望概率方法进行风险评估可以提高消防系统的安全标准,并且建议了一种简便迅速的评估计算方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 火灾风险 期望概率 评估 |
The Application of the Method of Expectation Probability to the Fire Risk Assessment |
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| Institution: | LI Jian - yu ( Fire Crops of Shanxi Province, Taiyuan 030001, China) |
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| Abstract: | The fire risk assessment about ancient buildings and the fire losses during 1950-2006 were made by means of the method of expectation probability to the fire risk assessment based on the comparison between the traditional method and the expectation probability one.It is concluded that this expectation probability method can be used to improve the fire safety standards for a fire assessment. |
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| Keywords: | fire risk expectation probability assessment |
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