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考虑验前信息可信度时的Bayes估计
引用本文:李鹏波,谢红卫,张金槐.考虑验前信息可信度时的Bayes估计[J].国防科技大学学报,2003,25(4):107-110.
作者姓名:李鹏波  谢红卫  张金槐
作者单位:国防科技大学机电工程与自动化学院,湖南,长沙,410073
基金项目:航天支撑技术基金资助(2001-HT-GFKD-09)
摘    要:研究了考虑验前信息可信度时的验前分布和Bayes估计算法,给出了正态总体参数的Bayes估计方法。以导弹落点散布的估计为例,说明了考虑验前信息可信度时Bayes估计有明显的改善,即具有更好的可信度。

关 键 词:Bayes估计  验前信息  可信度  导弹落点散布
文章编号:1001-2486(2003)04-0107-04
收稿时间:2003/1/12 0:00:00
修稿时间:2003年1月12日

Bayesian Estimation while Considering the Credibility of the Prior Information
LI Pengbo,XIE Hongwei and ZHANG Jinhuai.Bayesian Estimation while Considering the Credibility of the Prior Information[J].Journal of National University of Defense Technology,2003,25(4):107-110.
Authors:LI Pengbo  XIE Hongwei and ZHANG Jinhuai
Institution:College of Mechatronics Engineering and Automation, National Univ. of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China;College of Mechatronics Engineering and Automation, National Univ. of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China;College of Mechatronics Engineering and Automation, National Univ. of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China
Abstract:By considering the credibility of the prior information, a new Bayesian estimation algorithm is studied, and the estimation of normal distribution parameters is provided. Taking the estimation of the dispersion of the missile falling points as an example, the conclusion is drawn that by considering the credibility of the prior information, the new algorithm of Bayesian estimation is obviously improved,that is, it is of a better credibility.
Keywords:Bayesian estimation  prior information  confidence le vel  dispersion of the missile falling points
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