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一种火力毁伤效能评估方法
引用本文:张庆捷,赵瑾,郑斌.一种火力毁伤效能评估方法[J].火力与指挥控制,2017,42(2).
作者姓名:张庆捷  赵瑾  郑斌
作者单位:陆军军官学院,合肥,230031
基金项目:全军军事学研究生基金资助项目
摘    要:Lanchester方程和Monte Carlo方法是作战模拟的常用方法,前者按取均值的方法处理作战过程,忽略了各种因素随时间的差异性,降低了模拟精度;后者对细节的要求较高,使问题变得复杂难解。结合两种方法,既充分考虑了作战问题的宏观规律性和局部共性,也顾及了其中关键因素的微观差异性和随机性,在火力毁伤效能模拟评估问题的应用研究中有较好的表现。

关 键 词:Lanchester方程  Monte  Carlo方法  火力毁伤  效能  模拟评估

An Evaluation Method of Fire Damage Effectiveness
ZHANG Qing-jie,ZHAO Jin,ZHENG Bin.An Evaluation Method of Fire Damage Effectiveness[J].Fire Control & Command Control,2017,42(2).
Authors:ZHANG Qing-jie  ZHAO Jin  ZHENG Bin
Abstract:Lanchester equation and monte carlo method are both regarded as the frequently used methods in operational simulation area. To the former,the otherness of kinds of factors would be ignored and simulation precision would be reduced in operational processing by the way of mean value. To the latter,great complexity would be presented because of the high requirements to details. By combination of the two methods,the macroscopic law and local similarity of operational problem are fully considered,meanwhile,the same to the microcosmic otherness and randomness of key factors. And it also shows good behavior in dealing with the problem of fire damage simulated evaluation.
Keywords:lanchester equation  monte carlo method  fire damage  effectiveness  simulated evaluation
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