海上游击战的信息作战机理分析*

科学地研究游击战的获胜机理是军事学领域尚未解决的核心问题之一。运用信息作战原理,在海上游击战环境中,通过潜艇与航母战斗群反潜直升机的对抗来分析海上游击战的信息作战原理,研究表明:航母受到攻击的威胁通常为潜艇的1.5到5倍,只要发挥潜艇的信息与火力的联合作战优势来削弱航空母舰战斗群的反潜信息与火力的联合作战优势,仅单艘潜艇就可对航空母舰造成重创。信息作战原理不仅揭示了游击战环境中各种小概率事件及随机因素的影响机理,而且也可用作为对游击战指挥控制原理进行研究的理论基础及方法。

Study on Information Operation Mechanism of Guerilla Warfare at Sea

How win the war is the core problem to research, and the mechanism of guerilla warfare is one of challenging in military sciences. With information operation principle, the mechanism analysis of information operation between submarine and anti-submarine helicopters of aircraft carrier in the space of guerilla warfare at sea shows that the attacked risk of aircraft carrier is usually 1.5 to 5 times more than that of submarine, so that only single submarine can attack heavily aircraft carrier battle groups by increasing the advantage of joint operation ability of information and fire of submarine for decreasing the advantage of joint anti- submarine operation ability of information and fire of aircraft carrier battle groups. Thus, the information operation principle not only is used for analyzing the effect of various small probability events or stochastic factors on guerilla warfare at sea, but also is used as theory framework and practical method for studying the command and control of guerilla warfare at sea.