精度鉴定与试验决策系统

本文综合运用序贯分析方法和Ｂａｙｅｓ方法，提出用序贯Ｂａｙｅｓ决策进行战略导弹的精度鉴定和试验设计，序贯Ｂａｙｅｓ决策中的损失函数不仅考虑了决策损失，还考虑了试验费用，这样即可将鉴定方法与试验方法结合起来考虑，给出最佳鉴定方案及试验次数。

Dicision-Making Method for Accuracy Assesment

The author of this paper comprehensively utilizes the sequential analytics and Bayesian approaches in accuraey assessment and test project design of the strategic missile, then presents a sequential Bayesian decision method. Both the decision loss and testing cost are considered in the loss function of sequential Bayesian decision. Therefore, by taking account of the assessment approach and test approach, the author gives the optimal assessment approach and test project.