基于D-S证据理论的炮兵战场目标价值分析*

针对如何依据目标情报资料和作战任务需要合理评估战场目标的价值,选择需要射击的目标和确定优先顺序,建立了战场目标价值评价体系,提出了一种运用D-S证据推理理论对炮兵战场目标价值进行分析的新途径,该方法运用D-S证据组合公式对目标繁杂、不确定信息的融合,能够很好地消除目标信息的不确定性,从而将具有主观不确定性信息的目标价值分析问题转化为普通的确定性决策问题。通过实例证明了方法的有效性。

Artillery Battlefield Target Value Analysis Based on Evidential Reasoning

Target value analysis is the core task of artillery for processing operational information. It is an important responsibility for artillery commanders and their staff members properly to evaluate the value of targets, select targets to attack, and calculate their priorities based on battlefield target information and the combat mission. To solve the problem, this paper built the system of evaluating targets value, proposed a new approach for artillery field target value analysis using the Dempster-Shafer theory, this method synthesizes the uncertainty information together with D-S combination formula, and it was effective to improve the certainty of the information, so it changed the uncertain problem of target value analysis to certain one. The result of simulation proved the validity of this method.