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基于可靠性和兰彻斯特方程的装备损坏率预计方法
引用本文:耿军生,阮拥军,刘忠鹏.基于可靠性和兰彻斯特方程的装备损坏率预计方法[J].军械工程学院学报,2011(5):6-9.
作者姓名:耿军生  阮拥军  刘忠鹏
作者单位:军械工程学院装备指挥与管理系,河北石家庄050003
摘    要:战时装备损坏率预计是确定保障力量需求和组织保障活动的前提。在分析装备损坏影响因素的基础上,依据可靠性理论及兰彻斯特方程,提出了一种新的战时装备损坏率预计方法。该方法将经验计算和模拟计算相结合,能够快速、客观地预测装备损坏情况,满足未来作战精确保障的要求。

关 键 词:装备损坏率  预计  可靠性  兰彻斯特方程

An Estimation Method of Equipment Damage Rate Based on Reliability and Lanchester Equation
GENG Jun-sheng,RUAN Yong-jun,LIU Zhong-peng.An Estimation Method of Equipment Damage Rate Based on Reliability and Lanchester Equation[J].Journal of Ordnance Engineering College,2011(5):6-9.
Authors:GENG Jun-sheng  RUAN Yong-jun  LIU Zhong-peng
Institution:(Department of Equipment Command and Management, Ordnance Engineering College, Shijiazhuang 050003,China)
Abstract:Estimation of equipment damage rate is the premise of determining the maintenance force requirements and implementing equipment support. This paper analyzes the factors that affect equipment damage and puts forward the new estimation method of equipment damage based on reliability theory and Lanchester equation. This method combines the experience calculation with the analog calculation and meets the needs of accurate maintenance support in future warfare.
Keywords:equipment damage rate  estimation  reliability  Lanchester equation
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