库存控制条件下弹药供应链稳定性研究

由于弹药供应链系统中存在牛鞭效应问题,为了减少牛鞭效应对弹药供应系统的影响,研究系统的稳定性,建立了一阶弹药供应链系统。分析了弹药供应链系统的构成,对系统进行了数学建模分析与仿真验证分析。分析得出,决策参数调整系数β对弹药供应链系统稳定性的影响明显,部队需求量变化及订货量决策参数安全系数α影响较弱。并得出系统稳定时或系统出现震荡、混沌现象时调整系数β的取值范围。

Research on the Stability of Ammunition Supply Chain Under the Condition of Inventory Control

In order to solve the bullwhip effect on the ammunition supply chain and study the stability of the system, a single-level system of the ammunition supply chain was set up. The structure of the ammunition supply chain was analysed and a mathematic modeling and simulation analysis were carried. The factor which influences the stability of the system of the ammunition supply chain was analyzed out. The decision making parameter β was analyzed having patency effect of the stability of ammunition supply chain, the army demand and the safety factor α was feeble. When the system come forth stability, shake or chaos the value range of the parameter β was came out.