考虑目标定位误差的点目标毁伤概率求解

根据射击毁伤理论和概率统计学,在现有点目标毁伤概率求解方法基础之上提出考虑目标定位误差的解析法和仿真法.计算结果表明2种方法均准确可行.通过对比分析得出不同弹药量、不同目标特性条件下,定位误差对毁伤概率的影响程度.运用解析法得出点目标的单发命中概率服从χ2分布,通过大量仿真得出目标定位误差可忽略的条件为WmaxRCEP/ω.

Research on Point Target Damage Probability Considering Target-location Error

In accordance with shooting damage theory and probability statistics,target-location error analytical method and simulation method are proposed in this paper on the basis of the existing target damage probability computing methods.The results show that both methods are accurate and feasible.By comparing and analyzing the results of different amounts of ammunition, target characteristics under different conditions,the influence degrees of target-location error on the damage probability are achieved.It can be obtained from the analytical method that the single hit probabilities of point target obey χ2 distribution.The results from a large number of simulations show that the negligible conditions for target-location error are Wmax〈RCEP/ω.This paper can be a good reference for the research of point target damage probability.