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火箭发动机可靠性增长评估的Bayes方法
引用本文:刘琦,冯静,周经伦.火箭发动机可靠性增长评估的Bayes方法[J].国防科技大学学报,2003,25(2):25-29.
作者姓名:刘琦  冯静  周经伦
作者单位:国防科技大学人文与管理学院,湖南,长沙,410073
摘    要:针对火箭发动机分阶段试验,每阶段试验后对发动机出现的故障分析、归零的情况,提出等效试验数据的概念,结合Bayes方法对系统的可靠性增长试验进行评估,并在此基础上给出可靠度的增长分析,最后给出实例进行说明。

关 键 词:Bayes方法  ML-II  等效试验次数  可靠性增长
文章编号:1001-2486(2003)02-0025-05
收稿时间:2002/10/23 0:00:00
修稿时间:2002年10月23

The Bayes Method for Rocket Engine Reliability Growth Evaluation
LIU Qi,FENG Jing and ZHOU Jinglun.The Bayes Method for Rocket Engine Reliability Growth Evaluation[J].Journal of National University of Defense Technology,2003,25(2):25-29.
Authors:LIU Qi  FENG Jing and ZHOU Jinglun
Institution:College of Humanities and Management, National Univ. of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073,China;College of Humanities and Management, National Univ. of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073,China;College of Humanities and Management, National Univ. of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073,China
Abstract:During the development of the rocket engine, the new engine is coming from the fault analysis and the removal of its predecessors. In this paper, the concept of equivalent test data is presented. Then, using the Bayesian method, with a few field test examples, the reliability of new products are evaluated. With the result of the stage reliability evaluation, the reliability growth of the system can be evaluated. A sample is given to illustrate the method.
Keywords:Bayes method  ML-II(Maximum Likehood-II)  equivalent test data  reliability growth
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