炮兵营射击的弹着点模拟及射击误差分析

弹着点模拟是对敌火力打击目标毁伤仿真的重要环节。在分析炮兵营射击误差构成与计算方法的基础上，研究建立了炮兵射击的弹着点散布蒙特卡洛(Monte-Carlo)仿真模型，实现了对集火射向、适宽射向、三距离射击等多种火力打击方式共同作用下的弹着点散布模拟，为目标毁伤仿真研究提供了模型支持。以此为基础，通过分析各组误差对毁伤概率的影响，发现对于炮兵营打击面散布目标来说，营共同误差是影响毁伤概率的最显著因素，应当通过提高测定目标位置和气象准备的精度减小误差以提高对目标的毁伤效果。

Simulation of Impact Position of Artillery Battalion and Analysis of Firing Error

Simulation of impact position is an important step of the damage simulation. The impact position model is set up by Monte-Carlo method based on analyzing the components and calculating methods of firing error, and simulation of impact position which is codetermined by concentrated fire, optimum width fire and three-distance fire is realized, which can be used in damage simulation. Through analyzing influence of firing error to damage probability, we can obtain a conclusion: artillery battalion common error is the most important factor which affects damage probability to the case of artillery battalion firing to diffuse targets, so we can improve the precision of targets position and weather measure to increase damage effect.