方案评估动态推演模型设计

指挥机关制定战斗方案后，使用仿真方法进行评估已经成为部队验证方案或计划可行性的重要手段。但目前对于仿真系统的关键引擎动态推演模型如何构建尚没有细致的研究，可参考性、操作性不强，本文系统地探讨了动态推演模型的构建，分析了动态推演在方案评估过程中的作用，设计了军事概念模型，给出了关键步骤的操作、算法、及关键技术，利用该动态推演模型可以构建各种用途的动态推演系统，模型及系统提供指挥员进行战斗方案评估的新的手段，能有效提高我军对方案定量分析的能力。

The Design of Combat Plan Evaluation Deduction Model

Simulation became an important tool to evaluating the feasibility and value of combat plan made by command office. Now, few research had been done in detail about how to build the deduction model which is a key engine of the simulation system, as a result, constructing simulation system for evaluating combat plan by deduction method is not easy then. In this paper , the dynamic deduction model is systematically analyzed and designed from following several aspects: first, what the deduction model taking effect in evaluating process, secondly how to design military conceptual of the model, thirdly what is the operation, algorithms, and key technologies of critical steps in model. A variety of simulation system for different propose can be built by the model then, the model and its system provide commanders new means of combat evaluation, and effectively improve the quantitative analysis capability of handling combat plan .