要地防空群对敌主攻方向确定度分析

针对目前防空作战中对敌主攻方向判断的困难和复杂性,运用系统工程理论、模糊数学等理论探索要地防空群对敌主攻方向定量判断问题。全面分析了影响敌主攻方向选取的诸多因素,建立了分析指标体系和模糊综合分析模型,为判断敌主攻方向提供了一种新的思路和定量分析的方法。在影响敌空袭目标选取的因素中,不确定和灰色的因素多,模糊综合分析方法采取定量与定性分析相结合的办法,把定性的因素定量化,较科学地解决了要地防空群对敌主攻方向判断的问题,进一步丰富了防空兵作战指挥精确决策理论。

Analysis on the Judgment of Air-Attack Main Direction for Air-Defense Groups of Focal Projects

Facing with the difficulties and complexities of judging air-attack direction ,the author explores this problem for the focal projects protected by air-defense groups by applying systems engineering theory and fuzzy mathematics .In this paper, many factors that affect judging the main air-attack direction are analyzed, and the analysis index system and a fuzzy synthesis analysis model are established, which provides new ideas and quantitative analysis method for judging air-attack main direction. There are many uncertain and gray factors affecting the judgment of air-attack targets. The paper solves the problem by fuzzy synthesis analysis, which enriches the precision decision-making theory for air-defense operation.