Fuzzy-AHP法在潜射巡航导弹命中概率分析中的应用

为准确评价潜射巡航导弹的命中概率,对影响命中概率的因素进行了具体分析,建立了潜射巡航导弹命中概率综合评价的指标体系.应用模糊综合评判及层次分析法,给出了综合评价的数学模型.对算例的仿真计算,得出了较为可信的结果.结果表明应用此方法,可以更准确的对潜射巡航导弹的命中概率进行评估,为潜射巡航导弹的研发及使用保障提供决策参考.

Application of Fuzzy-AHP to the Analysis of Submarine Cruise Missile Hit Probability

In order to exactly evaluate the submarine cruise missile shot probability, the paper establish a new index system based on the analysis of factors of the system. By using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and analytic hierarchy process, the mathematic model is established in this article. We get a credible result from simulation calculation of the model. As a result, we can evaluate the submarine cruise missile hit probability from the method and get reference for the research and department of the cruise missile.