基于作战环的单目标毁伤概率分析

针对现代化战争的特点,基于作战环的思想,将整个作战环分成几个不同的环节进行分析,并提出了一种求解武器装备对于单目标毁伤概率的计算方法。该方法考虑了不同环节对于目标毁伤的影响,定量计算了武器装备对敌方目标的毁伤概率,既从宏观层面上考虑了武器装备的涌现性,又从底层分析了影响目标毁伤的参数。最后通过示例分析验证了方法的可行性和有效性。

Analysis of Kill Probability of Single Target Based on Operation Loop

According to the characteristics of modern warfare,the entire operation loop is divided into several different links of the analysis based on the idea of operation loop. The method is proposed to calculate kill probability for a single target. Not only has it thought about the effect of different links for the target damage,but also calculate the kill probability about enemy targets. The way takes into account both the emergence properties of weapons and equipment from the macro level and the influence of target damage from the underlying parameters. The result proved that the method is proper and valid finally.