| 基于灰色理论的直流接触器行为预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 谢永成,程延伟,李光升,李方正,魏宁.基于灰色理论的直流接触器行为预测[J].火力与指挥控制,2008(Z2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 谢永成 程延伟 李光升 李方正 魏宁 |
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| 作者单位： | 装甲兵工程学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 针对大型复杂装备使用了大量的直流接触器,并且接触器接触电阻值随外间因素变化大等特点,利用灰色理论的新陈代谢GM(1,1)预测模型,对直流接触器的接触电阻进行了预测评估。从而,可以进一步判断直流接触器的接触行为。实际模拟证明,新陈代谢GM(1,1)预测模型能够明显地提高预测精度,增加预测可靠程度,从而实现直流接触器接触行为的早期预测评估。
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| 关 键 词： | 直流接触器 接触电阻 行为预测 灰色理论 |
Forecasting of DC Contactor Acts based on Grey Theory |
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| XIE Yong-cheng,CHENG Yan-wei,LI Guang-sheng,LI Fang-zheng,WEI Ning.Forecasting of DC Contactor Acts based on Grey Theory[J].Fire Control & Command Control,2008(Z2). |
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| Authors: | XIE Yong-cheng CHENG Yan-wei LI Guang-sheng LI Fang-zheng WEI Ning |
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| Institution: | XIE Yong-cheng,CHENG Yan-wei,LI Guang-sheng,LI Fang-zheng,WEI Ning(Academy of Armored Force Engineering,Beijing 100072,China) |
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| Abstract: | For large complex equipments using a lot of DC contactor,the characteristic is that contact resistance of DC contactor changed with the outside factors.The thesis uses the metabolic GM(1,1) forecast model of grey theory, forecasting the contact resistance of DC contactor,which can judge the act of DC contactor further.The results of simulation indicate that metabolic GM(1,1) forecast model can significantly improve forecast accuracy,increase the reliability of forecasting.So it can do the early forecasting ... |
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| Keywords: | DC contactor contact resistance act forecasting grey theory |
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