| GM(1,1)模型预测火炮研制费用的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 汤长俊,潘玉田,胡会芳,马昀.GM(1,1)模型预测火炮研制费用的应用[J].火力与指挥控制,2009,34(9). |
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| 作者姓名： | 汤长俊 潘玉田 胡会芳 马昀 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中北大学机电工程学院,山西,太原,030051
2. 中国兵器工业集团公司,北京,100081 |
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| 摘 要： | 随着科学技术的发展,寿命周期费用日益受到重视,尤其是寿命周期费用中研制阶段的费用对寿命周期费用起到决定作用.利用GM(1,1)灰色理论对自行火炮寿命周期费用中的研制费用进行分析,建立了基于GM(1,1)灰色理论的自行火炮研制费用分析通用时间序列模型,并以某自行火炮研制费用为实例,利用SPSS统计软件对文中建立的灰色预测模型进行了分析计算.其计算和检测的结果表明模型可靠、精度较高,为自行火炮研制费用分析提供新的理论分析方法.
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| 关 键 词： | 自行火炮 研制费用 灰色模型 |
Study on GM(1,1) for Forecasting the Development Cost of Self-propelled Gun |
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| TANG Chang-jun,PAN Yu-tian,HU Hui-fang,MA Jun.Study on GM(1,1) for Forecasting the Development Cost of Self-propelled Gun[J].Fire Control & Command Control,2009,34(9). |
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| Authors: | TANG Chang-jun PAN Yu-tian HU Hui-fang MA Jun |
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| Institution: | 1.Mechanical and Electrical Engineering;North University of China;Taiyuan 030051;China;2.China North Industries Group Coroperation;Beijing 100081;China |
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| Abstract: | With the development of the science,we are playing more and more attention on the study of life cycle cost.Especially,the development cost is the most important as a part of the life cycle cost.This article introduces grey theories to analysis the development cost of life cycle cost of self-propelled gun.setting up a development cost model,taking the development of a self-propelled gun and making use of SPSS for working out the model,which offers a dependable model and a simple calculation method to analysi... |
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| Keywords: | self-propelled gun development cost grey model |
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