多样化军事任务舆情演化及引导的仿真

针对海军遂行多样化军事任务所面临的日益复杂的社会舆论环境,采用基于Agent的建模理论与方法,建立了舆情演化过程的模型,并对其进行了仿真和分析。首先,提出了个体间观点交互的规则,建立了个体观点交互的舆情演化模型。其次,基于所建模型对不同条件下的舆情演化及引导进行了仿真实验与分析。仿真结果表明,模型的统计结果与实际舆情演化情况相符,具有较强的实际性。

Research on Public Opinion Evolution and Guidance for Diversified Military Missions

For the reality that the opinion environment of carrying out the diversified military missions is turning more and more complex,the paper established a new opinion evolution model based on agent modeling theory. First,the paper presented opinion evolution formula,prescribed how people discussed,and established a new opinion evolution model including discussion between peoples. Second,the model with different sets of parameters and different guidance strategies were simulated. Simulation results show that the proposed opinion evolution model made a good agreement with the reality.