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基于时间序列分析的火灾发生规律研究
引用本文:郭艳丽,兰月新.基于时间序列分析的火灾发生规律研究[J].中国人民武装警察部队学院学报,2010(10):12-14.
作者姓名:郭艳丽  兰月新
作者单位:[1]武警学院消防工程系,河北廊坊065000 [2]武警学院基础部,河北廊坊065000
摘    要:在时间序列分析建模思想的基础上,基于全国2007年24小时火灾起数建立时间序列模型,对火灾发生趋势进行分析,并从预防控制时间上提出相应的防控建议。

关 键 词:时间序列分析  建模思想  火灾发生规律

A Study of a Pattern of Fire Occurrences Based on the Sequence of Time
GUO Yan-lia,LAN Yue-xin.A Study of a Pattern of Fire Occurrences Based on the Sequence of Time[J].Journal of the Chinese People's Armed Police Force Academy,2010(10):12-14.
Authors:GUO Yan-lia  LAN Yue-xin
Institution:b(a.Department of Fire Engineering;b.Basic Courses Teaching Department,The Armed Police Academy,Langfang,Hebei Province 065000,China)
Abstract:This paper analyzes a pattern of fire occurrences of 24 hours of a day from 2007 up to now.The pattern is analyzed and fire prevention measures are suggested based on this analysis of time sequence.
Keywords:analysis of time sequence  idea of a pattern of fire occurrence  a pattern of fire occurrence
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