| 武器系统概率指标的贝叶斯决策评定方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 贾旭山,金振中.武器系统概率指标的贝叶斯决策评定方法[J].现代防御技术,2011,39(2):50-53,59. |
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| 作者姓名： | 贾旭山 金振中 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国人民解放军92941部队,辽宁,葫芦岛,125000 |
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| 摘 要： | 剖析了武器系统试验工程领域中常用二项分布经典假设检验方法存在的问题,从贝叶斯决策思想和理论出发提出了概率指标评定的新方法,通过实例对比证明了贝叶斯决策评定方法有效解决了二项分布经典假设检验方法中存在的问题。
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| 关 键 词： | 鉴别比 贝叶斯决策 风险相当 |
Bayesian Decision Evaluation on Probability Index of Weapon System |
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| RA Xu-shan,JIN Zhen-zhong.Bayesian Decision Evaluation on Probability Index of Weapon System[J].Modern Defence Technology,2011,39(2):50-53,59. |
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| Authors: | RA Xu-shan JIN Zhen-zhong |
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| Institution: | JIA Xu-shan,JIN Zhen-zhong(PLA,No.92941 Troop,Liaoning Huludao 125000,China) |
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| Abstract: | The problem of classical hypothesis testing for binomial distribution in weapon system test domain is analyzed.A new method of probability evaluating index is provided based on Bayesian decision idea and theory,it is proved that the problem of classical hypothesis testing for binomial distribution can be solved by means of the Bayesian decision evaluation method. |
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| Keywords: | discrimination ratio Bayes decision risk matching |
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