基于仿真推演的导弹作战实验框架分析与设计

针对导弹武器论证设计高成本、高复杂度的问题，本文梳理了导弹作战实验设计服务的多种功能需求，阐述了导弹作战实验设计的数理方法；为构建具有较好柔性的导弹作战实验仿真框架，针对导弹系统多个性能指标，辨析了各类导弹作战实验仿真变量；针对作战实验中的环境和装备特性，梳理了导弹作战实验模型体系，提出了仿真新模型开发框架；结合导弹作战实验案例，构建了实验设计优化方法，提出了作战实验检验设计方案；从运行实验出发，阐述了设定作战想定、建立控制机制、开展结果分析等仿真环节的具体设计。通过这些工作，形成了一种支撑导弹作战实验的柔性仿真框架，为进一步开展基于仿真推演的导弹作战实验提供参考。

Analysis and design of a missile combat experiment framework based on simulation deduction

Focusing on the high cost and complexity of missile system design, this paper proposes a missile combat experiment framework based on simulation deduction. Firstly, the common functional requirement scenarios of missile combat experiment design service are listed, and the mathematical methods of missile combat experiment design are introduced. To build a flexible simulation framework of missile combat experiment, the simulation variables of missile combat experiment are analyzed and distilled according to the multiple performance indexes of a missile system. To simulate the environment and equipment characteristics in combat experiments, the usual types of models for missile combat experiments are collected, and the steps of how to develop new simulation models are put forward. With certain cases of missile combat experiments, the optimization methods and VV&A of experimental designs are constructed. Finally, the necessary running mechanisms for a simulation application such as setting an operational scenario, establishing a control mechanism and carrying out a result analysis are designed. With the work, a flexible simulation framework supporting missile combat experiments is presented, which could further conduct the missile combat experiment research based on simulation deduction.