| 柴油机磨损寿命的灰色马尔柯夫模型预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 王悦民,李育学,潜伟健.柴油机磨损寿命的灰色马尔柯夫模型预测[J].海军工程大学学报,1996(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 王悦民 李育学 潜伟健 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于灰色系统理论，将灰色ＧＭ（１，１）预测模型和马尔柯夫预测模型的优点结合起来，形成一个灰色马尔柯夫预测模型，拓宽了灰色预测的应用范围。特别地，这种模型的预测结果比其它随机波动性较大的数据到模型的预测结果精确得多。对柴油机磨损寿命进行预测，取得了令人满意的结果。
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| 关 键 词： | 柴油机 灰色系统 磨损 灰色马尔柯夫模型 |
Forecasting on the Wear Life - Span of Diesel Engine by Gray - Markov Model |
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| Wang Yueming, Li Yuxue, Qian Wejian.Forecasting on the Wear Life - Span of Diesel Engine by Gray - Markov Model[J].Journal of Naval University of Engineering,1996(2). |
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| Authors: | Wang Yueming Li Yuxue Qian Wejian |
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| Institution: | Wang Yueming; Li Yuxue; Qian Wejian |
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| Abstract: | This paper is based on the gray system theory and gives a gray - Markov forecasting model,which has combined the advantages both of gray GM(1, 1 ) forecasting model and Markov one. It wides the application range of gray forecast. Particularly, the obtained results are more precise than those by other models for data sequences with heaVy random fluctuation. The result of forecasting the wear life - span of diesel engine is of satisfaction. |
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| Keywords: | Diesel engine Gray system Wear Gray - Markov model |
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