基于装备损伤概率的舰艇动力系统安全性分析

考虑舰艇损害管制过程中人员因素对系统的影响,运用马尔科夫链对人员操作引起的舰艇动力系统损伤概率进行修正,根据修正后的毁伤概率,建立概率危险性评估模型,引入危险度指标,对动力系统在遭受武器攻击情况下的危险度进行了计算,并依据计算结果对系统安全度进行评定。

Analyses on safety of warship power system based on probability of damage equipment

Considering the influence of the person factor on the system during the course of damage control on the warship,the damage probability of warship power system caused by the operation of crews was amended with Markov Chain.According to the result,the probability fatalness assessment model was established and the safety of power system assessed.The risk index was used to calculate the risk index of the power system under the attack of weapons,the security of system was evaluated according to the result of calculation.