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基于灰色理论的鱼雷装载可靠性分析
引用本文:李宗吉,任德奎.基于灰色理论的鱼雷装载可靠性分析[J].海军工程大学学报,2008,20(4).
作者姓名:李宗吉  任德奎
作者单位:海军工程大学,兵器新技术应用研究所,武汉,430033
摘    要:为解决在鱼雷装载可靠度试验数据较少的情况下进行装载可靠性分析困难的问题,利用灰色系统理论及 GM(1,2)建模的思想,研究了鱼雷装载可靠度和工作可靠度之间的灰色关系,基于灰色系统理论建立了两者之间关系的数学模型.计算实例表明,该方法简单实用,可在鱼雷装载可靠度数据样本量较少的情况下对鱼雷装戢可靠度进行有效预测,为鱼雷装载可靠度的评定提供了理论参考.

关 键 词:灰色系统理论  鱼雷装裁可靠度  鱼雷工作可靠度  预测

Research on torpedo loading reliability based on grey system theory
LI Zong-ji,REN De-kui.Research on torpedo loading reliability based on grey system theory[J].Journal of Naval University of Engineering,2008,20(4).
Authors:LI Zong-ji  REN De-kui
Abstract:In order to solve the difficulty in analyzing the torpedo loading reliability for lack of experiment data of loading reliability,the relationship between torpedo loading reliability and working relia-bility was analyzed,and the model was established by using fuzzy regression theory and GM(1,2) model.The application of the real data proves that this method is so easy and realistic as to be used to predict the loading reliability which is lacking in experiment data from the equipping reliability.And these forecast results provide a lot of reference data for assessing the torpedo loading reliability.
Keywords:grey system theory  torpedo loading reliability  torpedo working reliability  forecast
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