| 武器系统研制单位管理水平的贝叶斯评估分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈静,蒋铁军,李积源.武器系统研制单位管理水平的贝叶斯评估分析[J].海军工程大学学报,2003,15(6):101-104. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈静 蒋铁军 李积源 |
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| 作者单位： | 海军工程大学,管理工程系,湖北,武汉,430033 |
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| 摘 要： | 将Bayes理论应用于对武器系统研制单位管理水平的评估.克服了验前评估方法主观性大的缺陷,充分利用收集到的补充信息,对评估结果作了后验预分析,得到了更加可信的评估结论,从而改进了决策过程.
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| 关 键 词： | 武器系统 管理水平 贝叶斯评估 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-3486(2003)06-0101-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年2月3日 |
Evaluation of management level of weapon system development departments based on Bayes analysis |
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| CHEN Jing,JIANG Tie-jun,LI Ji-yuan.Evaluation of management level of weapon system development departments based on Bayes analysis[J].Journal of Naval University of Engineering,2003,15(6):101-104. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Jing JIANG Tie-jun LI Ji-yuan |
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| Abstract: | Bayes theory is applied in the evaluation of the management level of weapon system development departments. The limitation, such as the subjectivity of the priorevaluation method,is conquered.The collected additionalinformation is utilized, and the posterior predictive analysis is made for evaluation result. The more creditable evaluation conclusion is drawn, and the decision-making process is improved. |
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| Keywords: | weapon system management level Bayes evaluation |
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