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基于状态评估的复杂系统任务成功性评估
引用本文:张耀辉,沈军,王少华,刘新光.基于状态评估的复杂系统任务成功性评估[J].装甲兵工程学院学报,2011,25(4):1-5.
作者姓名:张耀辉  沈军  王少华  刘新光
作者单位:装甲兵工程学院技术保障工程系,北京,100072
摘    要:给出了基于状态评估的复杂任务成功性评估模型,通过任务分解确定相关功能单元,而后利用D-S证据理论对相关功能单元的技术状态展开评估,结合具体任务剖面与技术状态评估结果实现对复杂系统的任务成功性评估。最后以实例表明该方法运用在某型装甲装备任务成功性评估上的有效性和实用性。

关 键 词:任务分解  D-S证据理论  任务成功性

Evaluation of Complex System Dependability Based on State Evaluation
ZHANG Yao-hui,SHEN Jun,WANG Shao-hua,LIU Xin-guang.Evaluation of Complex System Dependability Based on State Evaluation[J].Journal of Armored Force Engineering Institute,2011,25(4):1-5.
Authors:ZHANG Yao-hui  SHEN Jun  WANG Shao-hua  LIU Xin-guang
Institution:ZHANG Yao-hui,SHEN Jun,WANG Shao-hua,LIU Xin-guang(Department of Technical Support Engineering,Academy of Armored Force Engineering,Beijing 100072,China)
Abstract:A model of dependability evaluation for the complex system based on state evaluation is presented.The related function units are identified through mission decomposition,then the state of related units are estimated with the D-S theory of evidence,the evaluation of dependability for complex system is achieved combined with specific mission profile and the units′ state evaluation.Finally,examples prove that the method applied on dependability evaluation of a kind of armored equipment is valid and practical.
Keywords:mission decomposition  D-S theory of evidence  dependability
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