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AHP-Bayes及Bootstrap方法在战损装备维修工作量统计建模中的应用
引用本文:陈春良,石全,张会奇,潘高田.AHP-Bayes及Bootstrap方法在战损装备维修工作量统计建模中的应用[J].装甲兵工程学院学报,2009,23(2):5-8.
作者姓名:陈春良  石全  张会奇  潘高田
作者单位:1. 装甲兵工程学院,技术保障工程系,北京,100072
2. 装甲兵工程学院,技术保障工程系,北京,100072;军械工程学院,装备指挥与管理系,河北,石家庄,050003
3. 装甲兵工程学院,装备指挥与管理系,北京,100072
摘    要:提出了一种小样本条件下数据分析和分布规律统计的AHP-Bayes及Bootstrap方法,并以某型火箭炮战损维修工作量分布规律统计为实例进行了应用。该方法为准确预计战时装备维修保障需求,科学制定战时装备维修保障方案提供了定量分析支撑。

关 键 词:AHP-Bayes方法  Bootstrap方法  战损装备维修工作量  分布规律  统计建模

Application of AHP-Bayes & Bootstrap Methods in Battle Damaged Equipment Maintenance Workload Statistic Modeling
CHEN Chun-liang,SHI Quan,ZHANG Hui-qi,PAN Gao-tian.Application of AHP-Bayes & Bootstrap Methods in Battle Damaged Equipment Maintenance Workload Statistic Modeling[J].Journal of Armored Force Engineering Institute,2009,23(2):5-8.
Authors:CHEN Chun-liang  SHI Quan  ZHANG Hui-qi  PAN Gao-tian
Institution:1. Department of Technical Support Engineering, Academy of Armored Force Engineering, Beijing 100072, China; 2. Department of Equipment Command and Administration, Ordnance Engineering College, Shijiazhuang 050003, China; 3. Department of Equipment Command and Administration, Academy of Armored Force Engineering, Beijing 100072, China)
Abstract:The AHP-Bayes & Bootstrap methods are brought forward as the means of small sample data analysis and distributing orderliness statistics. The methods are used in the workload distributing orderliness statistics of certain type of bazooka damaged maintenance. The method provides quantitative analysis support for forecasting wartime equipment maintenance accurately and working out wartime equipment maintenance support scheme scientifically.
Keywords:AHP-Bayes method  Bootstrap method  battle-damaged equipment maintenance workload  distributing orderliness  statistic modeling
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