航母武器装备保障能力建设研究

随着我国第一艘航空母舰的入役,航母何时具备作战能力越来越引起人们的高度关注。其中,尽快形成航母武器装备的保障能力是至关重要的一项内容。文章围绕航母武器装备保障能力建设这个主题,介绍了航母武器装备保障系统的概况,分析航母武器装备保障的主要特点。阐述了航母武器装备保障的基本要求。并从人员、装备、保障方式等方面研究航母武器装备保障能力建设的对策措施,为航母武器装备保障能力建设提供借鉴和参考。     

Manpower modeling in cost effectiveness studies of usaf program to reduce the incidence of heart disease

Planning for a cardiovascular disease reduction program, soon to be initiated by the United States Air Force, has required an evaluation of its expected cost effectiveness. During the course of this evaluation, it was necessary to consider manpower flows and their expected changes in response to the disease reduction program. This paper describes several manpower models that were applied: a simple expected value equilibrium model; a cross-sectional model that considered the length of service of personnel; and a staffing model used to optimize the allocation of paramedics to the many Air Force bases of various sizes. The relevance of these models to the cost effectiveness evaluation is shown but the detailed cost effectiveness results are not presented.     

Setting military reenlistment bonuses

The United States military frequently has difficulty retaining enlisted personnel beyond their initial enlistment. A bonus program within each service, called a Selective Reenlistment Bonus (SRB) program, seeks to enhance reenlistments and thus reduce personnel shortages in critical military occupational specialties (MOSs). The amount of bonus is set by assigning “SRB multipliers” to each MOS. We develop a nonlinear integer program to select multipliers which minimize a function of deviations from desired reenlistment targets. A Lagrangian relaxation of a linearized version of the integer program is used to obtain lower bounds and feasible solutions. The best feasible solution, discovered in a coordinate search of the Lagrangian function, is heuristically improved by apportioning unexpended funds. For large problems a heuristic variable reduction is employed to speed model solution. U.S. Army data and requirements for FY87 yield a 0-1 integer program with 12,992 binary variables and 273 constraints, which is solved within 0.00002% of optimality on an IBM 3033AP in less than 1.7 seconds. More general models with up to 463,000 binary variables are solved, on average, to within 0.009% of optimality in less than 1.8 minutes. The U.S. Marine Corps has used a simpler version of this model since 1986. © 1993 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

航母编队反潜声纳舰阵位确定方法研究

针对航母编队航渡过程中拖曳式线列声纳舰的阵位确定问题,提出了一种分析方法。通过对航母编队反潜监视区划分与反潜作战过程的分析,总结了声纳舰阵位确定的原则,建立了确定航渡过程中拖曳式线列声纳舰阵位的数学模型,仿真计算了模型中各参数对声纳舰前出距离的影响。这些模型可用于确定拖曳式线列声纳舰的前出距离,满足航母编队作战使用的需要。     

编队超视距空战效能评估方法

现有的两步裁定空战模型大多直接借鉴基于飞机易损性的先敌发射概率计算方法,而各种飞机的易损性无法通过解析模型来获取,因此降低了模型的通用性.在现有的研究基础上提出了作战飞机先敌发射指数概念,并基于空战双方的先敌发射指数提出了新的先敌发射概率计算模型和更为具体的编队超视距空战效能评估模型.最后给出了相关实例进行验证.     

一种无人战斗机系统使用保障费用分析方法

基于无人战斗机系统在使用保障上的特点,通过对有人战斗机使用保障费用模型进行合理改造,使其能适用于无人战斗机的使用保障费用分析。经过改造的模型具有结构清晰、概念明确的特点。适合在飞机总体设计阶段用于全寿命周期的费用估算以及飞机的费效分析和综合优化设计。通过与有人战斗机的使用保障费用进行对比计算表明,无人战斗机系统的使用保障费用具有明显的经济优势。     

A stochastic air combat logistics decision model for Blue versus Red opposition

Technologically advanced aircraft rely on robust and responsive logistics systems to ensure a high state of operational readiness. This paper fills a critical gap in the literature for combat models by closely relating effectiveness of the logistics system to determinants of success in combat. We present a stochastic diffusion model of an aerial battle between Blue and Red forces. The number of aircraft of Blue forces aloft and ready to be aloft on combat missions is limited by the maximum number of assigned aircraft, the reliability of aircraft subsystems, and the logistic system's ability to repair and replenish those subsystems. Our parsimonious model can illustrate important trade‐offs between logistics decision variables and operational success.     

基于预定作业周期的航母作战部署调度研究

为科学筹划航母作战部署调度,优化航母作战兵力的运用,对航母作战部署调度问题进行建模研究。介绍航母预定作业周期,重点阐述航母综合训练期、维修保障期和人员/作战节奏等相关内容;在此基础上,分析航母作战部署调度的约束条件,在满足对作战区域有效时间覆盖条件下,以最小化航母作战兵力数量为目标函数,构建航母作战部署调度优化模型,并通过实例进行验证。结果表明,该模型是有效、实用的,可为科学决策航母作战部署调度提供依据和方法。     

A cost-benefit analysis of military aircraft replacement policies

This paper describes a method of solving aircraft service life problems. The particular application concerns aircraft in the Naval Advanced Jet Training Command. The method of solution is comparative present value analysis of alternative replacement policies. The likely risks of estimation errors are reflected in the comparisons of present values. Differences are noted in the benefits associated with each policy, but external to Naval Aviation. Since the values of these benefits can be determined only at a higher level of decision-making, the result of the study is not a conclusive selection among policies, but a schedule of present values on the basis of which, together with values of the external benefits, a decision can be reached. This paper discusses replacement policies for aircraft used in the Naval Advanced Jet Pilot Training mission. Taking engineering technology and the training syllabus as given, four feasible plans for introducing replacement aircraft into service are evaluated in terms of the present values of differential costs associated with the plans and in terms of the likely errors in cost estimates used in calculation of the present values. The trade-off between present value of costs and planning flexibility is emphasized in choosing a recommended time pattern of aircraft replacement. The specific aircraft mixes considered are the TF–9J/TAF–9J and the TA–4F/A–4B. The first is the currently employed mix; the second is the proposed replacement. The problem is to select an optimal time-pattern of replacement of F–9's by A–4's, given technological differences favoring the A–4 and increasing costs of maintaining squadrons of F–9's. Replacements by aircraft types other than the A–4 are considered impractical. Four feasible plans for introducing A–4's through a 5-year period are evaluated in terms of current best estimates of the related costs of the plans and in terms of the flexibility of modifying each plan given future better information concerning the relevant costs. The method of analysis is comparative present value of expected costs.     

隐身飞机的战术技术特点分析与防御对策

以F-117A和B-2两种现装备的隐身飞机为例,介绍了以减少雷达反射面积为主要手段的隐身技术。结合实际战例,分析了隐身飞机的战术技术与作战使用特点。对无源雷达、双基/多基雷达、米波雷达以及利用广播电视信号的"沉默哨兵"雷达等探测隐身飞机的雷达技术进行了综述。总结了对抗隐身技术的途径与方法,提出了雷达、光电相结合探测,导弹与高炮配合打击的对抗隐身飞机的对策。     

航母编队航渡过程中防空哨戒舰阵位确定方法研究

研究了一种航母编队航渡过程中防空哨戒舰的阵位确定方法。通过对航母编队防空区域划分与防空作战过程的分析,总结了航母编队航渡过程中防空哨戒舰阵位确定的原则,建立了防空哨戒舰阵位的数学模型,仿真计算了模型中各个参数对防空哨戒舰前出距离的影响。这些模型可用于确定防空哨戒舰的前出距离和方位,满足航母编队作战使用的需要。     

Fighter aircraft acquisition in Croatia: failure of policy delivery

The possibility for Croatia to obtain new fighter aircraft is not new, as this option has been publicly debated for at least a decade. A sudden decision to advance the acquisition of a limited number of fighter aircraft was made in 2017 with an international tendering process concluding in early 2018. Through open source material, this paper will look at this procurement process by examining the relationship between policy and strategic thinking on the one side, and policy delivery on the other, and evaluate why the tendering process failed in achieving envisaged results. The paper concludes that the problems facing the Croatian aircraft acquisition process stem from at least two interrelated factors: firstly, at the operational level, the failure of the procurement was the direct result of mismanaged tendering procedures linked to the wider public administration reform process; and secondly, at the strategic level, inherently complex civil-military relations and related cultural aspects which have not been adequately addressed over the past decades. The result was a failure to deliver on government policy, something which this paper argues will need to be addressed over the medium to long term.     

对岸电子进攻中航母阵位确定方法

针对航母编队对岸电子进攻作战提出了一种航母编队阵位确定的方法。基于航母编队在对岸电子进攻中的任务,提出了航母编队与岸边距离的基本要求,建立了航母编队与岸边距离的数学模型,仿真计算了模型中各个参数对航母编队与岸边距离的影响。这些模型可用于航母编队在对岸电子进攻中确定航母的阵位,满足航母编队作战使用的需要。     

Simulation on the dynamic stability derivatives of battle-structure-damaged aircrafts

Accurately evaluating the aerodynamic performance of a battle-structure-damaged aircraft is essential to enable the pilot to optimize the flight control strategy. Based on CFD and rigid dynamic mesh techniques, a numerical method is developed to calculate the longitudinal and longitudinal-lateral coupling forces and moments with small amplitude sinusoidal pitch oscillation, and the corresponding dynamic de-rivatives of two fragment-structure-damaged and two continuous-rod-damaged models modified from the SACCON UAV. The results indicate that, at the reference point set in this paper, additional positive damping is generated in fragment-damaged configurations; thus, the absolute values of the negative pitch dynamic derivative increase. The missing wingtip induces negative pitch damping on the aircraft and decreases the value of the pitch dynamic derivative. The missing middle wing causes a noticeable increase in the absolute value of the pitch dynamic derivative;the missing parts on the right wing cause the aircraft to roll to the right side in the dynamic process, and the pitch-roll coupling cross dynamic derivatives are positive. Moreover, the values of these derivatives increase as the damaged area on the right wing increases, and an optimal case with the smallest cross dynamic derivative can be found to help improve the survivability of damaged aircraft.     

飞机再次出动保障活动设计方法

飞机再次出动保障活动所需时间长短对提升飞机的作战效能至关重要,针对当前在飞机保障资源有限约束条件下,再次出动保障活动工期最短难以实现的难题,提出了基于分支切割法的再次出动保障活动时间优化方法。该方法以飞机再次出动保障活动所需时间最短为目标,以有限的保障人员和保障作业间逻辑关系为约束条件,可计算出时间最短的飞机再次出动保障活动具体流程,并用VB6.0编制成计算机程序,开发了飞机再次出动保障活动分析系统。最后,对某型飞机真实保障活动进行了实例分析,结果表明,使用该方法计算得到的结果准确、可靠,与实际保障情况相符,可为飞机再次出动保障与决策提供指导,提升保障活动的自动化水平,具有很好的工程应用价值。     

海军要地防空作战指挥中飞机有效部署区域研究

在遂行海军要地防空任务时,飞机部署区域选择对防空作战有至关重要的影响。通过对防空作战指挥中飞机防空作战指挥流程分析研究,采用战术计算方法得出了防空作战中飞机有效部署区域应满足的必要条件,根据必要条件构建了线性规划模型,并通过图解法求得有效部署区域。最后对研究成果应用领域进行了分析。     

Optimal replacement of military aircraft: an economic approach

A nonlinear optimization model is developed in this paper to identify the optimal replacement strategy for military aircraft. In the model, the aircraft operating and maintenance (O&M) costs per available year are estimated as a function of age during the aircraft life cycle. After determining the optimal replacement policy, the model is applied to the CF Long-Range Patrol CP-140A Arcturus fleet. A sensitivity analysis is also carried out to assess the impact of some key model parameters on the result.     

某巡航式飞行器控制系统设计与仿真

在详细分析某巡航式飞行器运动模型的基础上 ,论述了采用经典控制理论设计该飞行器控制系统的方法 ,并在考虑限幅、延迟等非线性环节的基础上 ,进一步对控制系统参数进行了仿真分析。通过部分仿真结果曲线可以看出 ,控制系统结构和参数合理 ,可以满足该飞行器控制的总体性能要求。同时 ,可以为控制系统的半实物仿真及实际飞行提供更为可信的参考数据及曲线     

Allocation of quality improvement targets based on investments in learning

Purchased materials often account for more than 50% of a manufacturer's product nonconformance cost. A common strategy for reducing such costs is to allocate periodic quality improvement targets to suppliers of such materials. Improvement target allocations are often accomplished via ad hoc methods such as prescribing a fixed, across‐the‐board percentage improvement for all suppliers, which, however, may not be the most effective or efficient approach for allocating improvement targets. We propose a formal modeling and optimization approach for assessing quality improvement targets for suppliers, based on process variance reduction. In our models, a manufacturer has multiple product performance measures that are linear functions of a common set of design variables (factors), each of which is an output from an independent supplier's process. We assume that a manufacturer's quality improvement is a result of reductions in supplier process variances, obtained through learning and experience, which require appropriate investments by both the manufacturer and suppliers. Three learning investment (cost) models for achieving a given learning rate are used to determine the allocations that minimize expected costs for both the supplier and manufacturer and to assess the sensitivity of investment in learning on the allocation of quality improvement targets. Solutions for determining optimal learning rates, and concomitant quality improvement targets are derived for each learning investment function. We also account for the risk that a supplier may not achieve a targeted learning rate for quality improvements. An extensive computational study is conducted to investigate the differences between optimal variance allocations and a fixed percentage allocation. These differences are examined with respect to (i) variance improvement targets and (ii) total expected cost. For certain types of learning investment models, the results suggest that orders of magnitude differences in variance allocations and expected total costs occur between optimal allocations and those arrived at via the commonly used rule of fixed percentage allocations. However, for learning investments characterized by a quadratic function, there is surprisingly close agreement with an “across‐the‐board” allocation of 20% quality improvement targets. © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 684–709, 2001     

基于飞行仿真的近地告警包线计算

TSO-C151b标准中近地告警包线为通用模型设计,未结合飞机的自身特性。为精确给出飞机过大下降速率告警包线,通过结合飞机自身气动特性和操纵特性,分析告警机理,建立飞机六自由度仿真程序。依据飞机发动机数据、气动力数据、质量特性数据等,建立仿真模型及操作程序,实时模拟飞机各舵面的操作响应过程,以及飞机的运动姿态和飞行轨迹,计算飞机在不同下降速率时拉起的损失高度,设计近地告警包线。实际试飞数据验证了模型设计合理,计算结果准确。同时,将仿真计算得出的告警包线与TSO-C151b对比,给出适用于飞机的近地告警包线使用建议,保证飞机飞行安全。