共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
Clifford C. Petersen 《海军后勤学研究》1981,28(1):157-168
Planning for a cardiovascular disease reduction program, soon to be initiated by the United States Air Force, has required an evaluation of its expected cost effectiveness. During the course of this evaluation, it was necessary to consider manpower flows and their expected changes in response to the disease reduction program. This paper describes several manpower models that were applied: a simple expected value equilibrium model; a cross-sectional model that considered the length of service of personnel; and a staffing model used to optimize the allocation of paramedics to the many Air Force bases of various sizes. The relevance of these models to the cost effectiveness evaluation is shown but the detailed cost effectiveness results are not presented. 相似文献
2.
We consider order-quantity/reorder-point inventory models where the availability of supply is subject to random fluctuations. We use concepts from renewal reward processes to develop average cost objective function models for single, two, and multiple suppliers. Identifying the regenerative cycle for each problem aids the development of the cost function. In the case of two suppliers, spectral theory is used to derive explicit expressions for the transient probabilities of a four-state continuous-time Markov chain representing the status of the system. These probabilities are used to compute the exact form of the average cost expression. For the multiple-supplier problem, assuming that all the suppliers have similar availability characteristics, we develop a simple model and show that as the number of suppliers becomes large, the model reduces to the classical EOQ model. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 相似文献
3.
舰船尾部振动分析整船混合有限元模型的集成方法研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
对舰船尾部振动分析中整船混合有限元模型的集成方法进行了研究.通过对现有的几种集成方法进行分析、比较,提出了一个较为简便、易于操作的集成方法,并用于对某型舰尾部振动的实例分析中,得出了满意的结果.本文结论可推广到采用整船混合有限元离散模型对舰船总体振动和局部振动的分析计算中. 相似文献
4.
Moshe Kress 《海军后勤学研究》1991,38(3):303-313
The large body of work on stochastic duels represents an attempt to model combat situations, or parts of it, by means of formal probability models. Most, but not all, of the existing stochastic duel models, however, relate to static posture and fail to capture dynamic aspects as well as tactical considerations that may be present. In this article we propose a simple model of a two-on-one duel in which dynamic and tactical aspects are considered. The model represents a combat situation that is typical of a battle in which a maneuvering force attacks a smaller defending unit that is static. 相似文献
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This paper concerns itself with the problem of estimating the parameters of one-way and two-way classification models by minimization of the sum of the absolute deviations of the regression function from the observed points. The one-way model reduces to obtaining a set of medians from which optimal parameters can be obtained by simple arithmetic manipulations. The two-way model is transformed into a specially structured linear programming problem, and two algorithms are presented to solve this problem. The occurrence of alternative optimal solutions in both models is discussed, and numerical examples are presented. 相似文献
6.
A simple stochastic-duel model, based on alternate firing, is proposed. This model is shown to be asymptotically equivalent, for small hit probabilities, to other known models, such as simple and square duels. Alternate firing introduces an interaction between opponents and allows one to consider multiple duels. Conditions under which concentrated firing is better or worse than parallel firing are found by calculation and sometimes by simulation. The only parameters considered are the combat group sizes (all units within a group are assumed identical), the hit probabilities and the number of hits necessary to destroy an opposing unit. 相似文献
7.
从作战效率的角度,建立多层防御系统的概率模型,分析单层防御系统性能变化对整体的影响;建立目标毁伤概率模型,分析单个目标命中概率对单层防御系统性能的影响;建立单层防御系统的贝努利实验模型,分析识别能力和毁伤能力对系统效能的影响.通过这些简单的概率模型,反向分析探讨了针对分层防御系统的弹道导弹突防问题. 相似文献
8.
Designing Code Division Multiple Access networks includes determining optimal locations of radio towers and assigning customer markets to the towers. In this paper, we describe a deterministic model for tower location and a stochastic model to optimize revenue given a set of constructed towers. We integrate these models in a stochastic integer programming problem with simple recourse that optimizes the location of towers under demand uncertainty. We develop algorithms using Benders' reformulation, and we provide computational results. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007 相似文献
9.
James G. Taylor 《海军后勤学研究》1979,26(2):365-375
This paper develops new “simple” victory-prediction conditions for a linear Lanchester-type model of combat between two homogeneous forces with superimposed effects of supporting fires not subject to attrition. These simple victory-prediction conditions involve only the initial conditions of battle and certain assumptions about the nature of temporal variations in the attrition-rate coefficients. They are developed for a fixed-force-ratio-breakpoint battle by studying the force-ratio equation for the linear combat model. An important consideration is shown to be required for developing such simple victory-prediction conditions: victory is not guaranteed in a fixed-force-ratio-breakpoint battle even when the force ratio is always changing to the advantage of one of the combatants. One must specify additional conditions to hold for the cumulative fire effectivenesses of the primary weapon systems in order to develop correct victory-prediction conditions. The inadequacy of previous victory-prediction results is explained by examining (for the linear combat model without the supporting fires) new “exact” victory-prediction conditions, which show that even the range of possible battle outcomes may be significantly different for variable-coefficient and constant-coefficients models. 相似文献
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提出一种基于DCT的帧内视频编码器的缓存控制技术。它根据视频图像各种子块的比例及其相应的R-Q曲线确定量化因子,通过再编码,调整子块R-Q曲线的拟合参数使其自适应视频图像的场景变化。同时本文提出了一个简单有效的图像子块分类方法,分类结果基本上与根据编码子块所需比特数分类子块的结果相一致。此法用于缓存控制的额外计算量小,并能扩展应用于H.261、MPEG等视频编码标准中。模拟结果表明,此法在视频序列的场景发生变化时,再编码次数少,输出码率恒定。 相似文献
13.
In an endeavor to broaden the application of scheduling models to decisions involving the use of a manager's time we use simulation to investigate the performance of a number of simple algorithms (including eight priority rules and a construction heuristic) in a dynamic setting with tasks arriving (randomly) and scheduling decisions being made, over time. We compare these simple methods relative to a bound that uses an adjacent pairwise interchange algorithm. We model uncertainty in task durations, and costs being incurred for early and tardy task completion (representative of JIT settings). In addition to evaluating the efficacy of the scheduling rules and various preemption strategies (using ANOVA), we highlight the managerial implications of the effects of eight environmental parameters. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 相似文献
14.
针对现代非接触战争的特点,用数学方法研究导弹对抗模型问题,针对作战的不同目的和要求,建立两个导弹对抗的非线性规划数学模型,对模型求解设计了近似方法,该方法把上述非线性规划模型化为多个线性规划模型进行求解.对一类较简单的特殊情况进行了仔细分析,得到了分析解.最后指出该方法如何应用于动态实时优化决策.本文的方法可用来预测和评估导弹对抗的效果,为作战实时优化决策提供参考. 相似文献
15.
针对防空旅(团)指挥自动化系统效能评估中,其属性权重完全未知或只知大致范围的特点,给出2种基于理想点的不确定多属性效能评估模型,通过对模型的求解,可获得属性权重,进而对这种不确定性系统效能进行评估.该模型符合防空指挥自动化系统效能复杂性和人们思维的模糊性,为解决此类问题提供了新的途径和方法.实例证明,该模型简单有效. 相似文献
16.
This article deals with the problem of minimizing the transportation and inventory cost associated with the shipment of several products from a source to a destination, when a finite set of shipping frequencies is available. A mixed-integer programming model—shown to be NP-hard—is formulated for that problem. The computational complexity of some similar models applied to different problems is also investigated. In particular, whereas the capacitated plant location problem with operational cost in product form is NP-hard, the simple plant location problem with the same characteristics can be solved in polynomial time. A branch-and-bound algorithm is finally worked out, and some computational results are presented. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 相似文献
17.
It is proposed to describe multiple air-to-air combat having a moderate number of participants with the aid of a stochastic process based on end-game duels. A simple model describing the dominant features of air combat leads to a continuous time discrete-state Markov process. Solution of the forward Kolmogorov equations enables one to investigate the influence of initial force levels and performance parameters on the outcome probabilities of the multiple engagement. As is illustrated, such results may be useful in the decision-making process for aircraft and weapon system development planning. Some comparisons are made with Lanchester models as well as with a semi-Markov model. 相似文献
18.
The simulations that many defense analysts rely upon in their studies continue to grow in size and complexity. This paper contrasts the guidance that the authors have received—from some of the giants of military operations research—with the current practice. In particular, the analytic utility of Hughes' simple salvo equations is compared with that of the complex Joint Warfighting System (JWARS), with respect to JWARS' key performance parameters. The comparison suggests that a family of analytic tools supports the best analyses. It follows that smaller, more agile, and transparent models, such as Hughes' salvo equations, are underutilized in defense analyses. We believe that these models should receive more attention, use, and funding. To illustrate this point, this paper uses two very simple models (by modern standards) to rapidly generate insights on the value of information relative to force strength. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2003 相似文献
19.
George Tagaras 《海军后勤学研究》1989,36(5):639-654
A new approximate method is proposed for the economic design of control charts based on an estimate of the power of the control chart at optimality. Multiple linear regression is employed for the derivation of the approximate formula expressing the power of the control chart as a function of the model parameters. A simple optimization procedure is then used to determine the economic design of the control chart for the predicted value of the chart's detection power. The application of the new approach is illustrated through Duncan's models for variables control charts for processes subject to single and multiple assignable causes. Evaluation of the performance of the approximate method indicates that the approximate control chart design is very close to the exact optimum while its implementation requirements are reduced. 相似文献
20.
An economic two-stage screening procedure based on a dichotomous performance variable T and a continuous screening variable X is proposed. X is measured first to decide whether an item should be accepted, rejected, or additional observations should be taken. If no terminal decision is reached, T is then observed to classify the undecided items. Two models are considered; (i) the logistic model, where P(T = 1|X = x) is assumed to be a logistic function of x, and (ii) the normal model, where X given T is assumed to be normally distributed. A simple economic model based on inspection and misclassification costs is constructed. Optimal cutoff values on the screening variable are obtained by minimizing the expected cost subject to the constraint that the average outgoing quality attains a pre-specified level. Solutions are provided for both known-parameter and unknown-parameter cases. © 1995 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 相似文献