着力提高城市防空的“三种能力”

从一定意义上说,城市防空斗争的成败,将直接影响战争的进程乃至结局。在我国目前城市防护能力明显低于世界先进水平的情况下,要取得城市防空斗争的胜利,必须着力提高“三种能力”。 1.电子对抗能力 在高技术战争中,谁掌握了制信息权,谁就赢得了战争的主动权。因此,在未来战争中,争夺制信息权的斗争将日趋激烈。由于我国信息技术和装备远远落后于发达国家,所以,提高我国未来城市防空斗争中的电子对抗能力,必须着力研究如何以劣势装备战胜强敌的问题。首先,要注重研究和提高我军现有电子战装备的作     

装甲装备智能化发展的主要方向探究

当前,人工智能技术已在军事领域全方位渗透,"智能参谋"、无人机蜂群、无人战车、仿生机器人等武器装备已投入军队使用并取得了良好作战效果.装甲装备作为军事武器装备的重要组成部分,在未来智能化战争中仍然是陆战场的主角,而装甲装备的智能化发展也正在由单个"功能点"的突破向"战术面"融合的阶段迈进.本文认为,未来智能化战争对装甲...     

关于未来电子对抗制胜之道的几点思考

在未来信息化战争中,电子对抗已成为其他作战行动不可或缺的保护手段。面对西方发达国家先进电子对抗装备的进攻,技术相对落后的国家必须另辟蹊径,找准对手的弱点,采取非对称对抗措施,这样才能达到以劣胜优的目的。文章着重从空间迷盲、前沿打击、网络瘫痪三个方面探讨了未来电子对抗的制胜之道。     

人工智能技术在作战保障领域的应用与发展

智能战争是未来战争的主要形态,人工智能技术对于未来军事科技发展具有重要意义。本文回顾人工智能技术的起源与演变,分析相关技术在作战保障领域的国内外应用现状,归纳当前技术发展存在的主要问题,探讨人工智能技术未来可能的技术突破点和在作战保障领域的典型应用场景,旨在为作战保障技术与装备的智能化发展提供参考。     

人工智能技术在陆军电子对抗装备中的应用

随着人工智能技术在军事领域发挥了越来越重要的作用,世界各军事强国陆续将人工智能技术应用于陆军电子对抗装备,陆军电子对抗装备智能化需求愈发迫切.本文首先分析了陆军电子对抗装备的发展现状;其次,对目前的陆军电子对抗装备在面对高密度、高复杂度电磁信号环境和新体制作战对象时存在的适应性和自主性不足进行了探讨;最后,提出人工智能...     

基于智能化技术的协同作战方式

军事装备的智能化升级改造将推动智能装备作为独立的功能平台或作战单元参与到未来的战争中,与作战人员共同完成作战任务,在联合作战的背景下,作战人员与智能装备在战场上的共生与协同将成为最主要的作战样式。本文以装备逐步实现智能化为考虑基础,分析了未来参与作战的人和智能装备实现技战术协同的方式及场景,以及装备实现智能化协同所需要的关键技术。     

从伊拉克战争看2020年前后美军武器装备的发展

文章通过分析美军伊拉克战争之后武器装备的变化,预测未来美军装备智能化、一体化、信息化的发展趋势。     

自动化武器的发展及对未来战争的影响

在信息技术和生命技术革命的双重影响下,人工智能发展突飞猛进,剧烈改变着现代军事技术发展方向。战争形态由信息化逐步向智能化转变。自动化武器作为智能化装备重要的组成部分,其发展经历了三级进阶,愈发趋向人机一体和全自主化方向改变。这种发展趋势对引领未来战争产生重要而深远的影响。伴随着武器无人化、智能化、自主化的发展趋向,如何有效研发、利用、管控自动化武器成为未来无人化战争的重要议题。同时世界各国对自动化武器的研发部署也加剧了国际军控的紧张,特别是致命性自主武器的出现将有可能对战争伦理和法律构成前所未有的挑战,这将成为国际社会必须认真审视的问题。     

单兵的护身“法宝”

21世纪战场将是数字化战场,要想应付未来的战争,掌握战争的主动权,未来士兵必须具备“信息化、智能化、隐形化和多样化”等特点,为了满足时代发展的需要,一种集多种传感器为一体的神奇信息系统一信息化士兵装备应运而生。这套系统能侦察战场的种种信息,能有效隐蔽自己,遇到危险时,能灵活处置。 未来士兵有多功能头盔、防护军服、智能化作战武器系统等“法宝”。     

基于人工智能的智能化战争形态发展研究

经过60多年的发展,人工智能对人类生产生活各方面都产生了巨大影响。近年来,随着世界各国大力推进军事智能化建设,人工智能向军事领域渗透的步伐逐步加快,引发军事领域新一轮变革,推动战争形态向智能化战争的新方向演变。本文采用文献分析和实例研究的方法,深入剖析了人工智能技术对智能化战争形态发展的影响;将智能化战争划分为算法战争阶段和类脑化战争阶段两个阶段,并从基本概念、发展现状、作战样式等角度进行了细致分析。通过分析算法战争的局限性及类脑领域快速发展的趋势可以看出,世界各国、各科技企业均十分重视脑科学与类脑智能相关研究,智能化战争未来将从当前的算法战争阶段进入到类脑化战争阶段。     

Putin – the masked nemesis of the strategy of ambiguity

Recent events demonstrate the complex and adaptive approach employed by Russia to reassert influence in Europe. The changing face of Russia’s strategy commenced in 2007 when it launched a crippling cyber-attack against Estonia. This was followed by a large Russian conventional attack against Georgia in 2008, occupying two large areas of the nation. 2014 witnessed the Russian annexation of Crimea where in just a week, Russia seized control of Crimea “without firing a shot.” The annexation of Crimea was rapidly followed by a Russian inspired and led subversive war in eastern Ukraine. The common thread among these diverse Russian operations is its use of ambiguity to confound and confuse decision makers in the West.     

India's counter-insurgency experience: the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy

The Indian Army, a force trained primarily for conventional warfare, has been engaged in internal counter-insurgency operations since the 1950s. Despite such a long innings on a counter-insurgency mode, little attention has been accorded within military circles to doctrinal innovation for waging sub-conventional warfare in India's democratic political context. At best, the Army continues to view counter-insurgency duty as secondary to its primary duty of defending India from external conventional threats. By conceptualizing a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’, this article aims to fill this critical doctrinal gap in India's military policy. The author argues that a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’ based on democratic political culture, measured military methods, special counter-insurgency forces, local social and cultural awareness and an integrative nation-building approach will result in positive handling of India's internal security problems. The author utilizes India's counter-insurgency experiences in Assam, Mizoram, Nagaland, Punjab, and Operation ‘Sadhbhavana’ in Jammu and Kashmir as illustrative empirical indicants in order to validate the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy.     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Reviews

Douglas S. Derrer, We Are All the Target: A Handbook of Terrorism Avoidance and Hostage Survival. Annapolis, MD: US Naval Institute Press, 1992. Pp. x+135, notes, index. $14.95. ISBN 01–55750–150–5

Ian Knight, Zulu: Isandlwana and Rorke's Drift, 22–23 January 1879. London: Windrow & Greene, 1992. Pp.136, 150 illus., incl 8 colour plates, maps, biblio. £35. ISBN 1–872004–23–7

Ian Knight, By the Orders of the Great White Queen: Campaigning in Zululand through the Eyes of the British Soldiers, 1879. London: Greenhill Books and Novato: Presidio Press, 1992. Pp. 272, 17 illus., 1 map. £18.95. ISBN 1–85367–122–3

Manfried Rauchensteiner and Erwin A. Schmidl (eds.), Formen des Krieges: vom Mittelalter zum ‘Low‐intensity’ Conflict’. Graz : Verlag Styria, 1991. Pp.208. DM35. ISBN 3–22–12139–7

Harold J. Kearsley, Maritime Power and the Twenty‐First Century. Dartmouth: Dartmouth Publishing Company, Limited, 1992. Pp.xv + 203, 13 diagrams, index. £32.50. ISBN 1–85521–288–9     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.