改进IAHP-CIM模型的雷达组网探测能力评估方法

针对雷达组网探测能力的评估问题,采用鱼骨图法对影响雷达组网探测能力的多种因素进行梳理,得到结构层次清晰的指标评价体系。采用改进的区间层次分析—控制区间和记忆模型对该指标体系进行评估,具体方法是:运用区间层次分析法构造区间判断矩阵;利用蛙跳算法求解区间判断矩阵中满足最小一致性的确定性矩阵;利用控制区间和记忆模型来确定各指标的风险概率,实现指标体系的评估。以具体的案例为对象进行仿真实验,结果表明,所提评估方法有效,评估结论相对客观、可信,对雷达组网探测能力评估具有一定参考价值,从而为雷达组网的优化部署奠定良好基础。     

雷达组网系统责任区抗干扰优化部署

针对有源压制干扰对雷达组网系统的威胁,深入分析了雷达组网系统的抗干扰优化部署问题,建立了雷达组网系统责任区抗干扰优化布站决策模型,并给出了具体的算法和求解分析.仿真结果验证了该方法的有效性,可为雷达组网系统的实际优化部署提供参考.     

基于文化遗传算法的雷达组网优化部署

针对雷达组网优化部署的原则,建立了一种空域探测覆盖系数的雷达组网模型,探讨了在实际阵地环境下的雷达组网简要约束条件。采用一种混合型的文化遗传算法,对该模型进行了仿真验证,给出了在雷达组网优化问题中的求解过程。结果表明,该种算法优于遗传算法,能有效地指导搜索,大幅度缩小了寻优的解空间,提高组网优化部署效率,同时得到雷达组网的最大探测区域,满足实际环境下的约束条件,优化部署具有较高的应用价值。     

对抗条件下雷达部署优化方法研究

针对强对抗环境下雷达网面临隐身、低空突防、复杂电子干扰等威胁问题,提出了基于雷达网探测威力和重点目标跟监能力相结合的大区域组网雷达优化部署方法,建立了雷达组网优化部署的评估指标体系和综合效能计算模型,给出了基于人工蜂群算法的雷达组网优化部署求解过程。仿真实验表明,该方法能显著提高组网效能,对雷达网作战有参考价值。     

基于模糊聚类的粒子群算法在雷达组网优化布站中的应用

提出了一种基于模糊C-均值聚类的粒子群算法,将其应用于雷达组网优化布站.定性分析了雷达组网布站原则并对其量化,建立了优化布站的数学模型.为加快求解速度,结合模糊C-均值聚类对标准粒子群算法进行了改进,给出了基于模糊C-均值聚类的粒子群算法在该优化问题中的设计方法,并与标准粒子群算法和遗传算法进行了仿真对比.结果表明,该方法能够快速得出雷达组网优化布站方案,验证了雷达组网布站模型的可行性和改进算法的有效性.     

多约束条件的雷达组网系统部署决策问题

分层次地建立了雷达组网系统的整体探测能力指标及雷达单元间的威力衔接指标模型.并对区域雷达组网系统的优化部署方法进行了深入研究和仿真验证.仿真表明,在部署决策过程中,基于所述模型,可建立科学有效的约束条件,从而大大缩小部署寻优的解空间,提高了优化部署实施的效率和可操作性.     

改进粒子群算法在雷达组网优化布站中的应用

针对雷达组网优化布站问题,通过分析雷达组网探测性能指标,建立了优化布站数学模型,提出了一种融入自适应反向学习机制的改进粒子群算法并应用于雷达组网布站优化。在此基础上,通过调整加权值分析了不同情形下各性能指标对雷达网探测能力的影响,得出了各情形下的最优布站方案。仿真结果表明,采用改进算法得到的布站方案相对标准粒子群算法要更优,从而验证了布站模型的可行性和改进算法的有效性。     

模拟退火算法在雷达网优化部署中的应用

针对区域防空雷达网是防空作战空情预警的发展趋势,研究了雷达网优化部署问题。利用模拟退火算法全局搜索和避免局部极化的特点,结合雷达网优化部署数学模型,给出了具体的求解步骤,并通过计算机仿真实验证明了该算法的有效性。结果表明,该算法的应用为雷达指挥所指挥员和作战参谋提供了雷达组网方案的辅助分析,提高了指挥所在多种战术背景下的快速反应能力和整体作战指挥能力。     

OLPDHS算法在雷达组网优化部署中的应用

为解决优化部署问题,首先与其他元启发式算法相比,分析了和声搜索算法的特色,并推导出参数的理论关系;然后,将相对立学习概念引入HS算法,结合参数调整关系,提出了相对立学习参数调整和声搜索算法,并通过仿真实验与其他HS算法在收敛速度和精度两方面进行了比较;最后,以空域体积建立目标函数作为雷达组网优化部署的数学模型,利用该算法进行寻优部署,结果表明:该算法可以较快地得出最优部署方案,操作性强。     

雷达组网系统抗压制干扰部署优化算法研究

针对雷达组网系统抗压制干扰部署优化问题,讨论了雷达及其组网系统的残剩可探测区动态定量评估模型,定义了雷达及其组网系统的探测能力下降指数、雷达装备利用率及其抗干扰效能指数,给出了一套完整的组网系统抗压制干扰综合效能动态定量评估模型、优化布站决策模型及相应的实用算法。3部雷达组网的仿真试验证明了其有效性。     

Putin – the masked nemesis of the strategy of ambiguity

Recent events demonstrate the complex and adaptive approach employed by Russia to reassert influence in Europe. The changing face of Russia’s strategy commenced in 2007 when it launched a crippling cyber-attack against Estonia. This was followed by a large Russian conventional attack against Georgia in 2008, occupying two large areas of the nation. 2014 witnessed the Russian annexation of Crimea where in just a week, Russia seized control of Crimea “without firing a shot.” The annexation of Crimea was rapidly followed by a Russian inspired and led subversive war in eastern Ukraine. The common thread among these diverse Russian operations is its use of ambiguity to confound and confuse decision makers in the West.     

India's counter-insurgency experience: the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy

The Indian Army, a force trained primarily for conventional warfare, has been engaged in internal counter-insurgency operations since the 1950s. Despite such a long innings on a counter-insurgency mode, little attention has been accorded within military circles to doctrinal innovation for waging sub-conventional warfare in India's democratic political context. At best, the Army continues to view counter-insurgency duty as secondary to its primary duty of defending India from external conventional threats. By conceptualizing a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’, this article aims to fill this critical doctrinal gap in India's military policy. The author argues that a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’ based on democratic political culture, measured military methods, special counter-insurgency forces, local social and cultural awareness and an integrative nation-building approach will result in positive handling of India's internal security problems. The author utilizes India's counter-insurgency experiences in Assam, Mizoram, Nagaland, Punjab, and Operation ‘Sadhbhavana’ in Jammu and Kashmir as illustrative empirical indicants in order to validate the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy.     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Reviews

Douglas S. Derrer, We Are All the Target: A Handbook of Terrorism Avoidance and Hostage Survival. Annapolis, MD: US Naval Institute Press, 1992. Pp. x+135, notes, index. $14.95. ISBN 01–55750–150–5

Ian Knight, Zulu: Isandlwana and Rorke's Drift, 22–23 January 1879. London: Windrow & Greene, 1992. Pp.136, 150 illus., incl 8 colour plates, maps, biblio. £35. ISBN 1–872004–23–7

Ian Knight, By the Orders of the Great White Queen: Campaigning in Zululand through the Eyes of the British Soldiers, 1879. London: Greenhill Books and Novato: Presidio Press, 1992. Pp. 272, 17 illus., 1 map. £18.95. ISBN 1–85367–122–3

Manfried Rauchensteiner and Erwin A. Schmidl (eds.), Formen des Krieges: vom Mittelalter zum ‘Low‐intensity’ Conflict’. Graz : Verlag Styria, 1991. Pp.208. DM35. ISBN 3–22–12139–7

Harold J. Kearsley, Maritime Power and the Twenty‐First Century. Dartmouth: Dartmouth Publishing Company, Limited, 1992. Pp.xv + 203, 13 diagrams, index. £32.50. ISBN 1–85521–288–9     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.