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为了实现实测波浪作用下水下航行体出水成功概率预报,为潜艇作战提供一种水下发射的快速预报方法,基于边界元方法建立了水下航行体出水姿态计算模型,对不同波浪条件下水下航行体出水姿态参数进行了计算。同时,将不同波浪条件下的出水姿态参数进行集成,形成了规则波浪数据库。以渤海湾某时间段的实测海况作为发射环境,建立符合瑞利分布的波高概率分布模型,将尾部触水俯仰角作为判定条件,对实测波浪下水下航行体出水成功概率进行预报。计算结果表明,在考虑最恶劣工况下,相对于静水条件下的出水俯仰角偏差随着波高的增加而减小;相同波高下,受到出水相位的影响,出水俯仰角偏差呈余弦变化规律。该预报方法对于潜艇作战判定发射时机具有一定参考价值,为水下发射的成功概率预报提供参考。 相似文献
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无人水翼航行器在运行过程中会受到海浪干扰,使得无人水翼航行器姿态控制效果变差,而传统卡尔曼滤波(KF)过程噪声矩阵为固定值,在复杂海况下滤波效果并不理想。针对上述问题,基于一种无人水翼航行器,首先建立了其纵向运动数学模型,并设计了纵向姿态LQR控制器。然后设计了一种基于新息卡方检验值的自适应卡尔曼滤波(AKF),以自适应调节过程噪声矩阵,并将AKF用于对系统反馈状态进行最优估计。通过仿真验证了基于AKF的纵向姿态控制器,能够有效抑制海浪干扰,可以使无人水翼航行器在海浪中平稳运行。 相似文献
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为了研究特定海况等级和台风风级条件下的海洋环境水压场特征,并建立准确的物理场信号模型,首先验证了SWAN(simulating waves nearshore)模式推算台风浪的有效性,通过SWAN模式获取台风条件下某海域的海浪谱,并根据海浪谱密度求其海浪振幅谱;然后,由海浪振幅谱得到了海底压力振幅谱及压力功率密度谱、海底固定点水压场压力-时间历程。仿真结果表明:该模型可以将研究海况等级数由4级推广至8级,且在8级海况条件下的海浪水压场值最大可达12 kPa,有助于高海况条件下对水中装备进行性能测试。 相似文献
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某低成本小型固体运载器采用侧喷流和栅格舵联合进行姿态控制。针对该布局,设计引入闭环姿态控制的一、二级级间冷分离方案。在描述级间分离过程的基础上,建立了分离运动学与动力学模型,解锁与分离冲量装置模型,气动力模型以及分离姿态控制律模型,讨论了碰撞判断条件,通过Monte Carlo仿真验证了参数不确定条件下分离姿态控制律设计对于避免碰撞和减小上面级初始姿态偏差的有效性。结果表明所设计的分离方案在充分发挥冷分离优势的同时能够弥补由冷分离时间长引起的上面级初始姿态偏差,能够有效避免级间碰撞。为该运载器的级间分离方案提供了一种可能的选择。 相似文献
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蒙特卡洛法在火箭简控系统设计中的应用 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
建立了火箭弹道仿真模型。用蒙特卡洛法对简控火箭在无控条件下进行了模拟打靶。从其所有成功子样中统计出了火箭运动参数在主动段一系列时间点上的容许偏差。分别以上述时间点为起点,综合考虑运动参数偏差及其它随机偏差的影响,对落点散布进行了仿真分析。找出了合适的简控时间终点及其运动参数容许的偏差范围,为简控系统的设计提供了直接依据。 相似文献
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Douglas Mastriano 《Defense & Security Analysis》2017,33(1):68-76
Recent events demonstrate the complex and adaptive approach employed by Russia to reassert influence in Europe. The changing face of Russia’s strategy commenced in 2007 when it launched a crippling cyber-attack against Estonia. This was followed by a large Russian conventional attack against Georgia in 2008, occupying two large areas of the nation. 2014 witnessed the Russian annexation of Crimea where in just a week, Russia seized control of Crimea “without firing a shot.” The annexation of Crimea was rapidly followed by a Russian inspired and led subversive war in eastern Ukraine. The common thread among these diverse Russian operations is its use of ambiguity to confound and confuse decision makers in the West. 相似文献
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Namrata Goswami 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(1):66-86
The Indian Army, a force trained primarily for conventional warfare, has been engaged in internal counter-insurgency operations since the 1950s. Despite such a long innings on a counter-insurgency mode, little attention has been accorded within military circles to doctrinal innovation for waging sub-conventional warfare in India's democratic political context. At best, the Army continues to view counter-insurgency duty as secondary to its primary duty of defending India from external conventional threats. By conceptualizing a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’, this article aims to fill this critical doctrinal gap in India's military policy. The author argues that a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’ based on democratic political culture, measured military methods, special counter-insurgency forces, local social and cultural awareness and an integrative nation-building approach will result in positive handling of India's internal security problems. The author utilizes India's counter-insurgency experiences in Assam, Mizoram, Nagaland, Punjab, and Operation ‘Sadhbhavana’ in Jammu and Kashmir as illustrative empirical indicants in order to validate the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy. 相似文献
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In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population. 相似文献
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Lord Aikins Adusei 《African Security Review》2013,22(3):332-359
Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD). 相似文献
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This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels. 相似文献
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Paul Rich 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(1):39-56
The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses. 相似文献
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John Hussey Ian F.W. Beckett Hew Strachan Michael T. Isenberg 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(1):158-163
Douglas S. Derrer, We Are All the Target: A Handbook of Terrorism Avoidance and Hostage Survival. Annapolis, MD: US Naval Institute Press, 1992. Pp. x+135, notes, index. $14.95. ISBN 01–55750–150–5 Ian Knight, Zulu: Isandlwana and Rorke's Drift, 22–23 January 1879. London: Windrow & Greene, 1992. Pp.136, 150 illus., incl 8 colour plates, maps, biblio. £35. ISBN 1–872004–23–7 Ian Knight, By the Orders of the Great White Queen: Campaigning in Zululand through the Eyes of the British Soldiers, 1879. London: Greenhill Books and Novato: Presidio Press, 1992. Pp. 272, 17 illus., 1 map. £18.95. ISBN 1–85367–122–3 Manfried Rauchensteiner and Erwin A. Schmidl (eds.), Formen des Krieges: vom Mittelalter zum ‘Low‐intensity’ Conflict’. Graz : Verlag Styria, 1991. Pp.208. DM35. ISBN 3–22–12139–7 Harold J. Kearsley, Maritime Power and the Twenty‐First Century. Dartmouth: Dartmouth Publishing Company, Limited, 1992. Pp.xv + 203, 13 diagrams, index. £32.50. ISBN 1–85521–288–9 相似文献
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Jelmer Brouwer 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(5):835-856
This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work. 相似文献