LPG储罐区池火灾危险性分析及扑救对策

综合SFPE推荐的池火灾火焰热辐射计算模型,结合热辐射伤害破坏准则,分析了LPG储罐区池火灾的危险性,应用该方法计算分析了某LPG站发生池火灾时的伤害破坏范围。根据计算分析结果,在扑救LPG储罐区池火灾的过程中,对于按照有关国家标准规定的防火距离布置的LPG储罐区,仍然需要重点冷却着火罐及相邻罐,防止长时间火焰热辐射作用导致储罐破裂,发生沸腾液体扩展蒸气爆炸,同时,确定了消防人员和装备的安全距离。     

卧式储油罐罐体变位模型与罐容表标定

针对储油罐罐体变位影响油品计量精度的问题,建立了球冠形封头卧式储油罐罐体变位模型,将罐体变位后的油位高度转换成无变位时的油位高度,再利用罐体无变位时的储油体积计算模型得到变位后储油体积与油位高度的关系。分析了罐体变位对罐容表的影响,提出了一种基于最小二乘原理的变位参数识别算法,最后对该变位模型进行了检验,并采用插值算法重新标定了变位后的罐容表。结果表明:该变位模型与实际情况基本相符,变位参数识别算法能估计出罐体倾斜角度和偏转角度。     

地下储油复杂组合空间油气扩散蔓延三维数值模拟

针对地下储油复杂组合空间,采用大涡模拟的方法构建了油气扩散蔓延三维数值模拟模型,完成了油气扩散蔓延区域的空间离散和三维数值模拟求解优化,并进行了数值计算与分析。结果表明,在地下复杂组合受限空间油料泄漏后,罐室内的油气填充顺序为由边缘到出口、由底部到上部,油气不能达到100%的充满状态,罐室拱形顶部油气体积分数低于其爆炸下限的20%;罐室内油气的产生和蔓延十分迅速,从泄漏至到达罐室口仅需10 s,进入坑道仅需1 min;油气在流出罐室进入坑道后,具有迅速向四周扩散蔓延,流向一切可能注入的空间的特性。研究结果为地下储油工程的施工建设、安全管理、危险源监控等提供了有益参考。     

连续快速脉冲大电流条件下同轴电缆的温度特性

脉冲功率电源系统与耗能装置之间通过同轴电缆连接,同轴电缆在连续快速脉冲大电流工况下会温升过高。针对该问题,建立了同轴电缆有限元磁-热耦合模型,分析了管槽对流传热系数计算方法及其影响因素,同时分析了同轴电缆在自然冷却和强制冷却条件的温升特性。在此基础上,针对同轴电缆内部导体温升过高问题,设计了多种新型水冷式同轴电缆,分析了不同冷却方案同轴电缆冷却效果,结果表明:内外导体冷却式同轴电缆冷却效果较明显,可以满足设计要求。     

热容型钕玻璃棒激光器工作物质的温度和热应力研究

阐述了闪光灯抽运钕玻璃棒热容型激光器重频工作方式下瞬态温度分布模型和热应力分布模型,进行了数值模拟,并和常规冷却模式下的温度、热应力分布进行了比较.结果表明热容型激光器工作物质中心温度低于表面温度,温度梯度较小;中心应力为张应力,表面为压应力,且应力大小比冷却模式下小得多.由于工作物质承受的压应力的破坏阈值远高于张应力,所以热容型激光器比常规冷却模式激光器可以工作在更高的抽运功率上.     

罐底渗漏的罐基油气质量分数探测法识别

油罐是油品储运的重要设备,罐底最易出现穿孔渗漏油现象,致使罐基内部油气质量分数高于正常值。以油库中柴油覆土罐群为例,研究并试验了根据罐基油气质量分数识别罐底渗漏的方法：分析罐基探漏孔位置分布并钻孔;多次探测罐基油气质量分数,根据探测数据识别各罐有无底部渗漏;为了便于以后检测油库时识别各罐有无渗漏,为各罐建立状态监测表,并将无渗漏的罐基油气质量分数最高值暂定为该类罐的安全值,低于该安全值的油罐可直接判定为无渗漏。实践结果证明,这种不开罐检测罐底渗漏油的方法可及时发现故障并采取措施,对储油安全具有重要意义。     

基于ANSYS的油罐拱顶与罐壁关联性分析

针对油罐拱顶与罐壁上部容易出现失稳变形的实际问题,基于ANSYS建立了油罐有限元模型,对油罐结构稳定性进行数值模拟,探讨加载关联性和结构关联性对均匀外压作用下油罐稳定性的影响。结果表明:分析油罐结构稳定性时,对于给定尺寸的油罐,失稳发生在结构较薄弱部位;拱顶和罐壁可独立加载求解临界载荷,取较小值作为油罐的临界载荷;油罐的失稳分析要考虑拱顶与罐壁间相互作用对总体临界载荷的影响。研究结果可为基于有限元法的油罐稳定性设计和分析提供一定参考。     

基于改进的不等时距灰色模型的车辆装备冷却系金属腐蚀预测

车辆装备冷却系金属腐蚀原因错综复杂,是一个多因子综合作用的灰色系统。针对传统UGM(1,1)模型所存在的缺陷,将背景值构造优化、新陈代谢思想应用2个方面相结合,提出了一种改进的不等时距灰色GM(1,1)模型(简称MUGM(1,1,λ)模型),并用于冷却系金属腐蚀预测。结果表明:所建立的MUGM(1,1,λ)模型的预测精度高,优于传统UGM(1,1)模型,并可用于中长期预测,具有良好的实用价值。     

在役立式钢制油罐底圈罐壁可靠性分析

在役油罐的安全评估通常采用经验评估法,具有较大的盲目性。立式钢油罐强度破坏的重点区域在底圈罐壁,其作用的各变量因素具有较大的随机性,可靠性评价方法较为适用。根据结构可靠性理论推导出底圈罐壁强度失效的计算模型,并进行实例计算分析,为在役油罐的安全评估提供了一种量化的评价方法,具有一定的指导意义和参考价值。     

顶部开口条件下油罐油气爆炸数值模拟

根据油罐油气爆炸特性,基于RNG k-ε湍流模型、Finate-Rate/Eddy-Dissipation化学反应模型和相应的控制方程,采用SIMPLE算法对顶部开口条件下油气爆炸发生与发展过程进行了数值模拟。基于数值模拟结果分析了顶部开口条件下油罐油气爆炸罐外超压和火焰特征,与实验结果吻合良好,该模型可以用来预测顶部开口条件下油罐油气爆炸强度。     

THE CREATION OF THE ICC

The implications for African states of the recently created International Criminal Court should be carefully considered. There are far-reaching limitations placed on the ICC's jurisdictional scheme, both temporally as well as by the preconditions to the exercise of jurisdiction in the form of territoriality and nationality. The Court's powers may also be constrained out of deference to the grant of an internationally acceptable amnesty, and national courts may be constrained to recognise immunities from prosecution for high-ranking officials. These limitations need to be properly understood so that the ICC can be effectively utilised by African States to declare and act upon their commitment to the principle of individual criminal liability for those responsible for the most serious crimes.     

ACHIEVING THE VISION OF THE NPT

This article assesses the prospects for a strategy of incrementalism to lead to achievement of the core bargain of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons: non-nuclear weapon states' nuclear nonproliferation in exchange for nuclear weapon states' nuclear disarmament to the point of “global zero.” Game theory, prospect theory, and liberal international theory are used to evaluate the potential of a strategy of incrementalism. While separately each has insights to offer, it is when all three theoretical approaches are used in tandem that meaningful explanatory gains emerge. The article concludes that incrementalism probably cannot lead to complete nonproliferation and global nuclear zero. Instead, signal events (as described by prospect theory) are needed to “punctuate” incremental processes in negotiations (best explained by liberal international theory) in order to move past hindrances such as international structural constraints (exemplified by game theory) and the conservative risk-taking propensities of state elites (described by prospect theory).     

THE PLACE OF THE AFRICAN COMMISSION IN THE NEW AFRICAN DISPENSATION

The mandate to promote human rights in Africa is a challenging one and the African Commission on Human and Peoples' Rights, whose mandate it is, will have to use partnerships, such as NEPAD and other supportive multilateral institutions to fulfil it. The African human rights enforcement mechanism can only be as strong as the African peoples themselves make it. This paper examines the African Commission on Human and Peoples' Rights and looks at the role of the Commission in the New African dispensation following the adopting of the Constitutive Act of the African Union and the adoption of the New Partnership for African Development (NEPAD).     

THE REAL STORY BEHIND THE MAKING OF THE FRENCH HYDROGEN BOMB

Based on the first-person account of coauthor Pierre Billaud, a prominent French participant, this article describes for the first time in such detail the history of the development of the French hydrogen bomb in the 1960s and the organization of military nuclear research in France. The authors illustrate the extent to which French defense and governmental authorities did not support research on thermonuclear weapons until 1966. Billaud, a project insider, relates the historical episodes that led to France's successful 1968 thermonuclear test, including the names of the individuals involved and how a timely tip from a foreign source hastened the success of the first H-bomb test.     

THE NPT

This article assesses the successes and failures of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) since its creation in 1968 by developing and applying a set of “metrics” to each of the NPT's substantive articles as well as to its withdrawal provisions. In light of this analysis, the article also puts forward some specific proposals for strengthening the NPT and its implementation, with a view to the debate and decisions at the upcoming 2010 NPT Review Conference. A concluding section turns explicitly to the 2010 NPT Review Conference and proposes pursuit of agreement on three NPT Action Plans: one for nonproliferation, one for peaceful uses, and one for nuclear disarmament. Combining vision and practicable steps, these Action Plans would set out a roadmap for action between the 2010 and the 2015 NPT Review Conferences. They could provide a foundation for substantive exchanges—in this case, on progress toward their implementation—during the preparations for the 2015 conference.     

图象存储体与PC机接口设计

本文研究利用PC机扩充槽设计图象存储体与PC机的DMA接口,包括接口电路和接口驱动程序。主要完成图象存储体与PC机内存间DMA数据传送的启动及相应控制信号的产生、转换,并提供数据通道,本接口应用于“脉冲X光医疗诊断系统”,对其它图象处理系统的计算机接口亦有参考价值。     

人机闭合半动跟踪系统仿真模型的建立

本文论述了指挥仪半自动跟踪系统的仿真建模方法,建立了传动系统工作方程式及等效结构图,介绍了描述测手跟踪特性的两种模型,最后给出了以59式指挥仪为研究对象的半自动跟踪系统模拟结构图。     

THE HEALTH OF THE NUCLEAR NONPROLIFERATION REGIME

How do we assess the health of international regimes? Many analysts have insisted recently that the nuclear nonproliferation regime is in urgent need of repair or that it should even be discarded because of its supposed ineffectiveness. However, it is essential that statements about the regime being in crisis be scrutinized for veracity and utility. While the spread of nuclear weapons poses an undeniable and serious threat to international security, a mistaken crisis mentality with respect to the regime could lead to rash attempts to alter it in unnecessary or ineffective ways or, at worst, to discard it completely. This paper returns to a theoretical framework that differentiates regimes, across both issue areas and time, to provide a more specified evaluation of regime health. By disaggregating the nuclear nonproliferation regime and assessing the individual and interactive health of multiple dimensions, a number of dimension-specific, regime-strengthening policy recommendations emerge.     

前喷管燃气流对火箭飞行稳定性的影响

本文分析了具有前喷管的火箭弹在主动段的受力情况。指出,当超音速飞行时,在前喷管附近的弹体表面上产生一个局部高压区,由此形成一个翻转力矩。从而解释了在主动段超音速飞行中为什么会出现不稳定飞行。     

柱壳极限分析的广义变分原理

本文提供了适用于满足简化Mises屈服条件的刚塑性体柱壳极限分析的两类变量广义变分原理,并证明了它与柱壳极限分析的全套方程和条件等价。