Termination policies for a two-state stochastic process

The purpose of this paper is to investigate and optimize policies which can be used to terminate a two-state stochastic process with a random lifetime. Such a policy consists of a schedule of times at which termination attempts should be made. Conditions are given which reduce the difficulty of finding the optimal policy by eliminating constraints and some boundary points from consideration. Finally, a bound for the optimal policy is derived for a case where some restrictions are imposed on the model.     

Some comparison results of system availability

System availability is a measure which is used to evaluate the performance of a system which can be in one of the two states: operational or nonoperational. It indicates the proportion of the time the system is available to perform its function. This paper discusses the concepts of stable point availability, stable interval availability, and long-run availability for the case of complete/minimal repair. Comparisons of these measures are made based on stochastic orderings and classifications of lifetime distributions. These comparisons are useful in determining policies for improving or maximizing the proportion of time the system is operational. The effect of using a burn-in procedure for maximizing these measures is also discussed. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 205–218, 1998     

A note on signature‐based expressions for the entropy of mixed r‐out‐of‐ n systems

We provide an expression for the Shannon entropy of mixed r‐out‐of‐ n systems when the lifetimes of the components are independent and identically distributed. The expression gives the system's entropy in terms of the system signature, the distribution and density functions of the lifetime model, and the information measures of the beta distribution. Bounds for the system's entropy are obtained by direct applications of the concavity of the entropy and the information inequality.Copyright © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 202–206, 2014     

Planning gamma accelerated degradation tests with two accelerating variables

Gamma accelerated degradation tests (ADT) are widely used to assess timely lifetime information of highly reliable products with degradation paths that follow a gamma process. In the existing literature, there is interest in addressing the problem of deciding how to conduct an efficient, ADT that includes determinations of higher stress‐testing levels and their corresponding sample‐size allocations. The existing results mainly focused on the case of a single accelerating variable. However, this may not be practical when the quality characteristics of the product have slow degradation rates. To overcome this difficulty, we propose an analytical approach to address this decision‐making problem using the case of two accelerating variables. Specifically, based on the criterion of minimizing the asymptotic variance of the estimated q quantile of lifetime distribution of the product, we analytically show that the optimal stress levels and sample‐size allocations can be simultaneously obtained via a general equivalence theorem. In addition, we use a practical example to illustrate the proposed procedure.     

On lifetimes in random environments

For a component operating in random environment, whose hazard rate is assumed to be the realization of a suitable increasing stochastic process, conditions are found such that its lifetime is increasing in likelihood ratio (ILR). For the lifetimes of two components of the same kind some comparisons based on partial stochastic orders are presented. Some applications to the case of repairable components are finally provided. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 365–375, 1998     

Comparison between constant‐stress and step‐stress accelerated life tests under Time Constraint

By running life tests at higher stress levels than normal operating conditions, accelerated life testing (ALT) quickly yields information on the lifetime distribution of a test unit. The lifetime at the design stress is then estimated through extrapolation using a regression model. In constant‐stress testing, a unit is tested at a fixed stress level until failure or the termination time point of test, whereas step‐stress testing allows the experimenter to gradually increase the stress levels at some prefixed time points during the test. In this work, the optimal k‐level constant‐stress and step‐stress ALTs are compared for the exponential failure data under complete sampling and Type‐I censoring. The objective is to quantify the advantage of using the step‐stress testing relative to the constant‐stress one. Assuming a log‐linear life–stress relationship with the cumulative exposure model for the effect of changing stress in step‐stress testing, the optimal design points are determined under C/D/A‐optimality criteria. The efficiency of step‐stress testing to constant‐stress one is then discussed in terms of the ratio of optimal objective functions based on the information matrix. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 00: 000–000, 2013     

关于加强装备信息资源建设的对策研究

装备信息资源作为军队信息资源的重要组成部分,是打赢信息化战争和装备信息化建设不可或缺的战略资源。论述了装备信息资源建设的地位作用、顶层设计、基础工程、重点难点和运行机制等,提出了加强和推进军队装备信息资源建设的基本对策和措施。     

Life distribution analysis based on Lévy subordinators for degradation with random jumps

For a component or a system subject to stochastic degradation with sporadic jumps that occur at random times and have random sizes, we propose to model the cumulative degradation with random jumps using a single stochastic process based on the characteristics of Lévy subordinators, the class of nondecreasing Lévy processes. Based on the inverse Fourier transform, we derive a new closed‐form reliability function and probability density function for lifetime, represented by Lévy measures. The reliability function derived using the traditional convolution approach for common stochastic models such as gamma degradation process with random jumps, is revealed to be a special case of our general model. Numerical experiments are used to demonstrate that our model performs well for different applications, when compared with the traditional convolution method. More importantly, it is a general and useful tool for life distribution analysis of stochastic degradation with random jumps in multidimensional cases. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 483–492, 2015     

Estimating distribution functions from partially observed samples

Suppose that some components are initially operated in a certain condition and then switched to operating in a different condition. Working hours of the components in condition 1 and condition 2 are respectively observed. Of interest is the lifetime distribution F of the component in the second condition only, i.e., the distribution without the prior exposure to the first condition. In this paper, we propose a method to transform the lifetime obtained in condition 1 to an equivalent lifetime in condition 2 and then use the transformed data to estimate F. Both parametric and nonparametric approaches each with complete and censored data are discussed. Numerical studies are presented to investigate the performance of the method. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 521–530, 2000     

伊拉克战争美军后勤(装备)保障特点及启示

伊拉克战争中,美军采取多种手段和措施,成功地实施了后勤(装备)保障,在保障准备、保障方法、保障信息化建设等方面呈现出许多新特点,为我军做好新形势下的装备保障工作提供了有益的启示。     

Statistical analysis of the output data from terminating simulations

In this paper we precisely define the two types of simulations (terminating and steady-state) with regard to analysis of simulation output and discuss some common measures of performance for each type. In addition, we conclude, on the basis of discussions with many simulation practitioners, that both types of simulations are important in practice. This is contrary to the impression one gets from reading the simulation literature, where the steady-state case is almost exclusively considered. Although analyses of terminating simulations are considerably easier than are those of steady-state simulations, they have not received a careful treatment in the literature. We discuss and give empirical results for fixed sample size, relative width, and absolute width procedures that can be used for constructing confidence intervals for measures of performance in the terminating case.     

一起灭火器爆炸案的原因调查

全面调查和分析了某住宅公寓灭火器爆炸事故的事故原因及相关责任,得出造成灭火器爆炸的根本原因是灭火器所充装的ABC干粉存在严重质量问题的认定,并依据相关法律将该案件作为刑事案件移交公安部门。     

Priori information analysis of optocoupler accelerated degradation experiment based on failure mechanism verification test

The optocoupler is a weak link in the inertial navigation platform of a kind of guided munitions. It is necessary to use accelerated storage test to verify the storage life of long storage products. Especially for small sample products, it is very important to obtain prior information for the design and implementation of accelerated degradation test. In this paper, the optocoupler failure mechanism verification test is designed and the experimental results are analyzed and the prior information is obtained. The results show that optocouplers have two failure modes, one is sudden failure and the other is degradation failure; the maximum temperature stress of optocoupler can't exceed 140 °C; the increase of leakage current of optocoupler is caused by movable ions contaminating the LED chip. The surface leakage current is proportional to the adsorption amount. The increase of leakage current makes p-n junction tunneling effect occur which LEDs the failure of the optocoupler. The lifetime distribution model of the optocoupler is determined by the failure physics. The lifetime of the optocoupler is subject to the lognormal distribution. The degeneracy orbit of the optocoupler leakage current is described by a power law model. The estimated values of the orbital parameters are initially calculated and the parameters of its life distribution function are deduced. The above information lays a good foundation for the optimization design and data processing of the accelerated degradation experiment.     

Inventory systems with imperfect demand information

An inventory system is described in which demand information may be incorrectly transmitted from the field to the stocking point. The stocking point employs a forwarding policy which attempts to send out to the field a quantity which, in general, is some function of the observed demand. The optimal ordering rules for the general n-period problem and the steady state case are derived. In addition orderings of the actual reorder points as functions of the errors are presented, as well as some useful economic interpretations and numerical illustrations.     

一种能量高效和均衡的无线传感器网络分簇数据融合算法

在无线传感器网络中,如果传感器节点之间的能耗不均衡,一些能耗进度较快的节点会过快失效,继而导致网络过早无法正常工作。为了解决分簇无线传感器网络在数据收集过程中所存在的节点之间能耗不均衡问题,提出了一种新的分簇数据融合算法。该算法将网络划分为大小不等的栅格,并根据剩余能量使簇首分别在每个栅格的节点中轮转。簇首消耗的能量越多,其所在的栅格也越大,栅格内有更多节点参与簇首的轮换以分担能量负载。通过该方式,算法能够提高节点的能耗均衡程度。另外,考虑到无线传感器网络的能量受限,算法还采取了一系列措施以节约能量。仿真实验结果表明,算法在能量使用效率、网络生命周期以及能耗均衡程度三个方面都具有较好的性能。     

Minimax inspection strategies for single unit systems

A model for proper scheduling of inspections is considered, if system failures can be detected only by checking. Two cases are analyzed: replacement and no replacement of a failed system. On condition that no or only partial information on the lifetime distribution of the system is available, minimax inspection strategies are obtained with respect to cost criterions.     

空间力量信息支援能力量化分析

研究空间力量的信息支援能力,对于搞好航天装备体系建设的顶层设计、规划论证以及作战运用,具有重要的现实意义和军事效益.对空间力量与空间信息支援作战、空间力量的作战任务、空间力量的信息支援能力等问题进行了定性分析.在对传统ADC方法进行合理改进的基础上,基于环境影响因子、各性能指标的权重以及各性能指标的评价函数,提出了一种全过程评估能力指标的新思路、新方法,建立了空间力量信息支援能力评估模型,为量化分析空间力量信息支援能力提供了一定的依据.     

Discrete bathtub failure rate and upside-down bathtub mean residual life

The concepts of a bathtub-shaped failure rate and upside-down bathtub-shaped mean residual life for discrete lifetime distributions are considered. The relationship between these concepts is established. The discrete counterparts of IFRA and DFRA classes discussed in the continuous case are combined into the class of a bathtub-shaped failure rate average. The relationship between bathtub-shaped failure rate and bathtub-shaped failure rate average is also given. © 1993 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

基于FPGA技术对老装备技术改造的研究

对服役多年达到使用寿命的电子装备,采用现场可编程门阵列（FPGA）集成电路技术进行技术改造,既能保证装备原有的技术性能指标,又可提高装备的可用性、维修性及可靠性．介绍了采用FPGA技术对某型数字式指挥仪进行技术改造的方法,并表明这种方法是装备技术保障中的一种行之有效的技术措施．     

信息化条件下武警院校电工电子实践教学改革探析

高素质人才是部队信息化建设的关键。围绕如何面对信息化条件下提高学员创新能力、培养高素质人才问题,对武警院校电工电子实践教学改革,提出一些有效的做法和措施。