潜射导弹作战指挥辅助决策支持系统框架

建立潜射导弹作战指挥辅助决策支持系统,是提高导弹作战效能的有效途径之一。根据潜射导弹发射平台的隐蔽机动性、作战指挥的集中统一性、作战实施的复杂性、作战决策方案的不易更变性和作战环境的依赖性等需求特点,提出潜射导弹作战指挥辅助决策支持系统的建设思路,给出了辅助决策支持系统的总体框架组成,对框架中数据库、模型库和方法知识库3个关键管理系统的组成和构建方法进行了探讨。     

多通道舰空导弹武器系统目标分配模型

目标分配是影响多通道舰空导弹武器系统多目标作战能力的关键环节。在分析多通道系统组成和作战的基础上,综合系统战技性能和战术使用运用特点,建立目标分配优化模型,并运用作战模拟方法进行了仿真,结果表明该模型可优化射击次序,增加目标分配数量,提高平均杀伤目标数,对于提高系统作战效能和指挥效率具有一定的参考价值。     

舰空导弹射击指挥辅助决策需求分析

根据舰空导弹防空作战的特点和作战指挥原则,分析了舰空导弹武器系统应具备的射击指挥辅助决策功能,提出了在该系统中设置舰空导弹射击指挥辅助决策功能模块,以满足舰空导弹射击指挥员进行射击指挥和决策的需要,达到提高舰空导弹武器系统作战效能的目的.     

舰空导弹模糊加权射击效能评估模型

为了给舰艇防空作战指挥决策提供依据,根据舰空导弹防空作战的特点,借鉴传统的作战效能评估方法,提出了用模型加权射击效能评估的方法来进行舰空导弹防空作战效能评估,建立了舰空导弹模型加权射击效能评估模型,并通过算例说明了作战效能评估中模糊权重的确定方法.提出的方法和建立的模型可作为构建舰艇防空作战指挥决策模型的基础.     

反辐射导弹及其对抗措施研究

反辐射导弹的快速发展给防空系统雷达及其它辐射源造成极大威胁。针对反辐射导弹技术战术特点,综合分析研究了反辐射导弹的作战使用弱点,从技术、战术、指挥三个方面着手,提出了对抗反辐射导弹的几种方法和措施,这些方法和措施可较好地满足防空兵部队抗反辐射导弹的作战与训练要求。     

高炮组网战术信息分发系统(AAANTIDS)作战结构

首先概要分析了高炮组网战术信息分发系统(AAANTIDS)的定义、功能和作战运用设想,据此,针对高炮在未来防空反导作战中的运用方式,具体从未配备指挥自动化系统情形下高炮群组网作战、配备指挥自动化系统情形下高炮团(旅)组网作战、防空导弹与高炮混编组网作战3个方面分析了AAANTIDS的作战结构,为AAANTIDS进一步的概念建模、研制发展提供了总体思路与框架.     

基于改进AHP-FCE算法的导弹旅指挥效能评估

针对传统AHP-FCE评估法确定指标隶属函数困难的情况,提出改进AHP-FCE算法,在综合考虑专家评估团队成员知识结构、研究领域、工作岗位等因素对评估结果影响的基础上,利用专家权重因子对模糊关系矩阵进行修正,提高模糊关系矩阵构建的合理性和实用性。分析导弹旅作战任务和作战指挥活动特点,构建导弹旅作战指挥效能评估指标体系,并运用改进AHP-FCE法实施综合评估,验证了方法的有效性。同时,针对评估结果分析重要参数的相互关系,提出参数设置建议。     

导弹作战体系作战能力评估方法研究*

对导弹作战体系作战能力评估问题进行了建模与仿真研究.分析了导弹作战体系的基本构成,建立了基于指数法和兰彻斯特战斗方程的导弹作战体系作战能力评估模型;仿真分析了发现和预警概率、指挥控制系统作战能力对导弹作战体系作战能力的影响,得到了一些有价值的数值仿真结论.     

导弹作战体系作战能力评估方法研究

对导弹作战体系作战能力评估问题进行了建模与仿真研究。分析了导弹作战体系的基本构成,建立了基于指数法和兰彻斯特战斗方程的导弹作战体系作战能力评估模型;仿真分析了发现和预警概率、指挥控制系统作战能力对导弹作战体系作战能力的影响,得到了一些有价值的数值仿真结论。     

计算机作战模拟一席谈(下)

同网对抗、异地操戈:作战指挥模拟作战指挥模拟的特点和作用武器装备及平台的仿真,主要建立在与平台本身的外型、物理特性、动力学特性相似的基础上,一般不考虑作战中的指挥,难以反映出指挥过程和指挥艺术、战术运用等方面的内容。部队规模越大,指挥艺术的作用体现得越明显。这种以部队作战指挥过程为对象,着重研究训练指挥的模拟,就是作战指     

Reviews

Douglas S. Derrer, We Are All the Target: A Handbook of Terrorism Avoidance and Hostage Survival. Annapolis, MD: US Naval Institute Press, 1992. Pp. x+135, notes, index. $14.95. ISBN 01–55750–150–5

Ian Knight, Zulu: Isandlwana and Rorke's Drift, 22–23 January 1879. London: Windrow & Greene, 1992. Pp.136, 150 illus., incl 8 colour plates, maps, biblio. £35. ISBN 1–872004–23–7

Ian Knight, By the Orders of the Great White Queen: Campaigning in Zululand through the Eyes of the British Soldiers, 1879. London: Greenhill Books and Novato: Presidio Press, 1992. Pp. 272, 17 illus., 1 map. £18.95. ISBN 1–85367–122–3

Manfried Rauchensteiner and Erwin A. Schmidl (eds.), Formen des Krieges: vom Mittelalter zum ‘Low‐intensity’ Conflict’. Graz : Verlag Styria, 1991. Pp.208. DM35. ISBN 3–22–12139–7

Harold J. Kearsley, Maritime Power and the Twenty‐First Century. Dartmouth: Dartmouth Publishing Company, Limited, 1992. Pp.xv + 203, 13 diagrams, index. £32.50. ISBN 1–85521–288–9     

Panjwai: a tale of two COINs in Afghanistan

The US Army has two approaches to counterinsurgency operations in Afghanistan. One is hard, or combat-focused, and the other is soft, or development-focused. This study examines two US Army task forces deployed to Panjwai District, Afghanistan from 2012 to 2013. CTF 4-9 and 1-38 offer a meaningful comparison because they pursued these contrasting approaches among the same population and against the same enemy at the same time and place. The study compares each unit’s approach and finds that neither approach was successful absent the other. The article concludes by recommending further research into combining the approaches at the operational level.     

线性核时频信号表示及其仿真

根据ｃｈｉｒｐ信号在模糊域的特点,本文提出了线性核时频表示方法。这种方法在提高分辨率、消除交叉项以及抑制噪声等方面都具有较高的性能。理论分析和实验结果都证实了这种方法的有效性     

Putin – the masked nemesis of the strategy of ambiguity

Recent events demonstrate the complex and adaptive approach employed by Russia to reassert influence in Europe. The changing face of Russia’s strategy commenced in 2007 when it launched a crippling cyber-attack against Estonia. This was followed by a large Russian conventional attack against Georgia in 2008, occupying two large areas of the nation. 2014 witnessed the Russian annexation of Crimea where in just a week, Russia seized control of Crimea “without firing a shot.” The annexation of Crimea was rapidly followed by a Russian inspired and led subversive war in eastern Ukraine. The common thread among these diverse Russian operations is its use of ambiguity to confound and confuse decision makers in the West.     

Forecasting a Hurricane: Israeli and American Estimations of the Khomeini Revolution

The surprising ‘Arab Spring’ raises the question as to what would enable national intelligence to provide high quality warnings prior to the eruption of popular revolutions. This article uses new sources of evidence to trace and explain Israel's success in comparison to US failure at correctly estimating the course of the Iranian Revolution in 1977–79. In explaining this variance, the article shows that it was mainly the result of the intimate acquaintance of Israel's representatives in Iran with the local language, history and culture, as well as the ability to communicate with locals – tools which the Americans completely lacked.     

关于教师继续教育培训模式的思考

继续教育作为终身教育的重要组成部分和基本形式,对教师的发展成长意义重大。继续教育工作开展十多年来,取得了一定的成绩,但还存在不少问题,如学习动机较为被动,管理认识不到位,教学内容陈旧空泛,教学方法呆板机械等。随着课程改革的不断深入,继续教育必须采取相应的改进措施,树立以人为本,服务至上的观点,教学内容的前瞻性与实用性并重,教学人员进行整合,教学方法灵活多样,评价考核规范科学等,以此激活受训教师内在的学习动机,更大程度地提高继续教育培训的实际效果。     

用DirectShow实现网络视频

目前市场上的网络监控技术一般用昂贵的硬件设备来支撑,投资较大。在深入研究微软的DirectX9.0的基础上,提出如何用DirectShow软件技术和普通的数字摄像头来实现网络视频的监控和实现技术,内容涉及通信协议、视频的编码与解码技术、视频的编码格式和COM组件编程技术等,最终的实验结果令人满意,且费用低廉,技术可靠,为在高速局域网内构建视频监控系统提供有效的技术支持。     

Interpreting the Ribchester Helmet

In 1796 a 13-year-old boy playing on wasteland behind his father’s house in Ribchester, Lancashire discovered an assemblage of over 30 Roman artefacts, including a decorated brass helmet. Although partially corroded the Ribchester helmet is a fine example of a first-century AD cavalry sports helmet. This article considers how the interpretation of the helmet has evolved since its discovery. The multi-faceted iconography of the helmet with its mural crown diadem is that of an elite soldier and is paralleled in other examples of cavalry sports helmets of the Ribchester type. The long-neglected imagery on the helmet bowl is reinterpreted and seen not as a haphazard collection of randomly placed combatants but as a highly structured, symmetrical composition specifically designed to be viewed from different directions.     

Desert insurgency: lessons from the third Tuareg rebellion

This article provides an in-depth examination and analysis of the 2006–2009 Tuareg rebellion in Mali and Niger. It identifies the underlying reasons behind the rebellion, explores contrasting counter-insurgency (COIN) strategies employed by the two governments, and presents some lessons learned. While both COIN approaches ultimately produced similar peace settlements, the article argues that the Malian strategy of reconciliation combined with the selective use of force was far more effective than the Nigerien iron fist approach at limiting the size and scope of the insurgency and producing a more sustainable peace. It concludes by looking at the role of external actors, particularly the United States, and how the failure to internationalize the conflict was actually more beneficial to the local COIN effort, as well as to the longer strategic interests of the United States in the region.