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1.
Robert E. Markland 《海军后勤学研究》1970,17(1):103-119
This paper deals with techniques applicable to predicting spare parts demand for military helicopters. The military helicopter is a distinct weapons system, whose unique configuration may preclude the direct application of forecasting techniques which have proved successful for other weapon systems. Furthermore, although the military helicopter has become extremely important tactically in modern warfare, it has received scant attention in terms of research concerning its supply support. Specifically, this paper summarizes research done to measure and compare the forecasting accuracy of six mathematical models, as they were applied to three prominent military helicopters. In addition, the paper describes attempts that were made to define, where possible, the conditions under which a specific forecasting technique might be applicable. In general, it is shown that the most accurate set of helicopter spare parts demand forecasts are produced by a second order polynomial exponential smoothing model. This model is observed to have most accurately described the highly volatile, and upward-trended demand time series which were the subject of the study. 相似文献
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Robert A. Agnew 《海军后勤学研究》1972,19(1):137-143
Suppose that a contractor is faced with a sequence of “minimum bid wins contract” competitions. Assuming that a contractor knows his cost to fulfill the contract at each competition and that competitors are merely informed whether or not they have won, bids may be selected sequentially via a tailored stochastic approximation procedure. The efficacy of this approach in certain bidding environments is investigated. 相似文献
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Let X1 < X2 <… < Xn denote an ordered sample of size n from a Weibull population with cdf F(x) = 1 - exp (?xp), x > 0. Formulae for computing Cov (Xi, Xj) are well known, but they are difficult to use in practice. A simple approximation to Cov(Xi, Xj) is presented here, and its accuracy is discussed. 相似文献
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Robert R. Read 《海军后勤学研究》1969,16(4):555-572
The paper treats the output process of a service center that has a large number of independent exponential channels in parallel. Initially all channels are working and there is a fixed backlog of items awaiting service. The moments are derived and central limit theorems are developed. Problems of computation are discussed and suitable formulae are developed. The joint distribution of the output of the center with the center's total busy time and total idle time are derived. Normal approximations to these distributions are presented. 相似文献
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A method is presented to locate and allocate p new facilities in relation to n existing facilities. Each of the n existing facilities has a requirement flow which must be supplied by the new facilities. Rectangular distances are assumed to exist between all facilities. The algorithm proceeds in two stages. In the first stage a set of all possible optimal new facility locations is determined by a set reduction algorithm. The resultant problem is shown to be equivalent to finding the p-median of a weighted connected graph. In the second stage the optimal locations and allocations are obtained by using a technique for solving the p-median problem. 相似文献
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