Reforming China’s defense industry

ABSTRACT

Even with sizable economic inputs, access to foreign technologies, and considerable political will, China, up until the late 1990s, experienced only limited success when it came to the local design, development, and manufacture of advanced conventional weapons. Not surprisingly, therefore, reforming the local defense industry in order to upgrade its technology base and manufacturing capabilities and to make armaments production more efficient and cost-effective has long preoccupied the Chinese leadership. The fact that most of these efforts had little positive impact on the country’s military technological and industrial capabilities only encouraged Beijing to experiment with additional reforms in the hopes of finally getting it right.     

Likelihood estimation for generalized mixed exponential distributions

The class of functions expressed as linear (not necessarily convex) combinations of negative exponential functions is dense in the set of all square integrable functions on the nonnegative reals. Because of this and resultant mathematical properties, linear combinations of exponential densities have excellent potential for wide application in stochastic modeling. This work documents the development and testing of a practical procedure for maximum-likelihood estimation for these generalized exponential mixtures. The algorithm offered for the problem is of the Jacobi type and guarantees that the result will provide a legitimate probability function of the prescribed type. Extensive testing has been performed and results are very favorable: convergence is rapid and the use of computer resources rather limited.     

精密机床导轨的测量分析

本文提出了一个用于质量诊断的精密机床导轨分析系统。受控目标的质量评估是依据于对一个物体在选定区间内的测量形状与位置偏差来确定的。质量评估采用相关综合指标的形式:基本误差函数,综合不平行度。在对完整的支撑部件或导向部件作评估的时候,这套系统能对各部件的位置做校正。本文所描述的计算机系统能控制任何测量系统。目前的版本是控制一个测量平动与转动位移量的激光干涉仪。     

Finite Markov chain models skip-free in one direction

Finite Markov processes are considered, with bidimensional state space, such that transitions from state (n, i) to state (m, j) are possible only if m ≤ n + 1. The analysis leads to efficient computational algorithms, to determine the stationary probability distribution, and moments of first passage times.     

Interactive solution of bi-criteria mathematical programs

In this paper, we develop efficient interactive methods for the solution of bicriteria nonlinear programming problems. The methods do not require trade-off information from the decision maker, pose less cognitive burden and converge to the “best compromise solution” fast. Two methods, called the paired comparison method and comparative trade-off method, are presented with examples. A real application of the interactive method to a bicriteria problem that arose in the planning of the cardiovascular disease control program in the U.S. Air Force is also presented.     

One- and two-stage scheduling of two products with distributed inserted idle time: The benefits of a controllable production rate

Consider the problem of scheduling two products on a single machine or through two machines in series when demand is constant and there is a changeover cost between runs of different products on the same machine. As well as setting batch sizes, it is assumed that the production scheduler can choose the production rate for each product, provided an upper bound is not exceeded. This is equivalent to permitting distributed inserted idle time over the production run. It is shown that characteristic of the optimum schedule is that there is no idle time concentrated between runs; it is all distributed over the run. If the inventory charge is based on average inventory then one product is always produced at maximum rate on the bottleneck stage; however, if there is an inventory constraint based on maximum inventory then in the single-stage case it can occur that neither product is produced at maximum rate.     

A two-state system with partial availability in the failed state

A generalization of the alternating renewal model of a repairable system to permit partial availability in the failed state is introduced. It is shown how, by making use of an embedded alternating renewal process, we can readily derive expressions for various measures of system availability. Expressions for the point availability of the generalized process are presented.