Changing the paradigm: Simulation,now a method of first resort

Decades ago, simulation was famously characterized as a “method of last resort,” to which analysts should turn only “when all else fails.” In those intervening decades, the technologies supporting simulation—computing hardware, simulation‐modeling paradigms, simulation software, design‐and‐analysis methods—have all advanced dramatically. We offer an updated view that simulation is now a very appealing option for modeling and analysis. When applied properly, simulation can provide fully as much insight, with as much precision as desired, as can exact analytical methods that are based on more restrictive assumptions. The fundamental advantage of simulation is that it can tolerate far less restrictive modeling assumptions, leading to an underlying model that is more reflective of reality and thus more valid, leading to better decisions. Published 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 293–303, 2015     

基于全维PI观测器的混沌系统鲁棒故障检测设计

研究了在干扰存在情况下基于全维PI观测器的混沌系统鲁棒故障检测设计问题。基于一类Sylvester矩阵方程的参数化解,给出了干扰和残差信号解耦的充要条件,并建立了具有鲁棒故障检测功能的全维PI观测器设计的参数化方法。Lorenz混沌系统的数值算例及其计算结果表明：在干扰存在的情况下,基于全维PI观测器的混沌系统鲁棒故障检测设计方法简单有效。     

空间紫外目标探测系统技术研究

为了有助于紫外探测系统的不断发展和应用,尤其是在空间军事上的广泛应用.首先,在阐述紫外探测系统组成与工作原理的基础上,提出系统的主要技术性能,分析紫外光学系统的技术特点,以及真空型和固体型2类紫外探测器的技术现状.其次,从目标的时间特性、运动特性和辐射特性角度研究空间紫外目标特性,并进一步归纳紫外大气传输影响因素.再次,借鉴红外目标信号处理方法,探讨紫外弱目标信号处理与检测方法.最后,指出紫外探测系统发展需要解决的若干关键技术.对于紫外目标探测系统技术的发展与深入研究,具有一定的理论指导作用.     

地空导弹武器系统抗饱和攻击能力研究

通过确定地空导弹武器系统抗饱和攻击能力的重要效能指标,分析地空导弹武器系统服务每枚来袭目标的过程,建立了地空导弹武器系统服务模型。在此基础上,建立了一种基于MonteCarlo法的地空导弹武器系统抗饱和攻击能力模型,并对模型进行了仿真分析。结果表明,该模型可真实地反映目标流强度对地空导弹武器系统服务目标数、杀伤目标数和消耗弹药数的影响,可为地空导弹武器系统的运用提供有益参考。     

装备保障指挥决策支持模型体系构建

以装备保障指挥决策过程为研究对象,针对传统决策方式准确性低、决策支持模型不全等问题,在分析装备保障指挥决策基本内涵及程序的基础上,提出了装备保障指挥决策支持模型三维框架结构,并对按功能和内容维展开的预测模型、评估模型和优化模型作了较为详细的描述。     

高超音速飞行器“黑障”解决方法

简述了"黑障"问题产生的原理、等离子鞘的流场分布及其对通信的影响;重点讨论了4种解决黑障的方法,从原理、具体实现等几个方面对其进行了阐述,并分析了这几种方法的优缺点。对其他的几种方法进行了简单的介绍。     

故障传播有向图在地面电源故障诊断的应用

基于图论的故障诊断方法能够有效地缩小故障源的搜索范围,在最短的时间内找到真正产生故障的部件。采用故障传播有向图的方法对某飞行器地面电源故障诊断算法进行了研究,针对该飞行器地面电源的物理结构及相关的电气特性得到其故障传播有向图,并经过一些运算后将有向图进行了分层重构,最后利用故障定位算法模拟了故障定位的过程,得到了很好的效果。     

双基地雷达抗干扰模型的研究

从双基地雷达方程和实施压制性噪声干扰前后所带来的热噪声的变化出发,给出了双基地雷达探测区和干扰暴露区的计算模型,分析计算了在自卫式干扰和远距离支援干扰条件下的双基地雷达抗有源压制性干扰性能,并与单基地雷达情况进行了比较,说明收发分置的双基地体制雷达具有较强的抗干扰能力。给出了仿真算例,结果验证了这种观点。     

Fully sequential indifference‐zone selection procedures with variance‐dependent sampling

Fully sequential indifference‐zone selection procedures have been proposed in the simulation literature to select the system with the best mean performance from a group of simulated systems. However, the existing sequential indifference‐zone procedures allocate an equal number of samples to the two systems in comparison even if their variances are drastically different. In this paper we propose new fully sequential indifference‐zone procedures that allocate samples according to the variances. We show that the procedures work better than several existing sequential indifference‐zone procedures when variances of the systems are different. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006