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431.
Capability-based planning (CBP) is considered by many defence organisations to be the best practice for enterprise-level planning, analysis and management. This approach, loosely based around investment portfolio theory, is premised on balancing the cost, benefit and risk of capability options across the defence enterprise. However a number of authors have recently noted limitations of its current applications. The authors propose a more general, insurance-based approach, which can support the evolutionary improvement of the current CBP approach. This approach is implemented as hedging-based planning and aims to better reflect the enterprise nature of defence organisations, capturing both force structure and force generation aspects of military systems. 相似文献
432.
“Smart Defense” is NATO's new approach to risk- and burden-sharing, which has been a chronic problem within the alliance since the 1950s. Numerous solutions have been proposed, but initiatives resulting in more equitable burden-sharing have never been fully implemented. There are two driving forces influencing a county's willingness to support such initiatives – the economic theory of alliances and the risks posed by the implementation of capability sharing. The authors examine each of these and propose that rather than aiming for group consensus on the production of capabilities, NATO should focus on interoperability through support functions. This approach provides the most likely solution for connecting the forces, doctrine, procedures, standards and other factors of joint capability production such that country leaders find the risks of doing so to be politically and militarily acceptable. 相似文献
433.
We study a stochastic interdiction model of Morton et al. IIE Transactions, 39 (2007):3–14 that locates radiation sensors at border crossings to detect and prevent the smuggling of nuclear material. In this model, an interdictor places sensors at customs checkpoints to minimize a potential smuggler's maximum probability of crossing a border undetected. We focus on a model variant in which the interdictor has different, and likely more accurate, perceptions of the system's parameters than the smuggler does. We introduce a model that is tighter and uses fewer constraints than that of Morton et al. We also develop a class of valid inequalities along with a corresponding separation procedure that can be used within a cutting‐plane approach to reduce computational effort. Computational results demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.Copyright © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 91–100, 2014 相似文献
434.
435.
Austin J. Lemoine 《海军后勤学研究》1986,33(3):431-443
A network model incorporating stochastic features is considered. The model represents a complex sequential process where an object or system moves through a succession of states (nodes) and operating modes (classes) in the course of carrying out its function (fulfilling its purpose). Transitions between states and operating modes occur in a possibly random manner and require (consume) some resource in randomly varying amounts. We discuss the routing behavior and resource requirements of a typical object as it moves through (and eventually out of) the network. We then shift our focus from a single object and its odyssey to the network as a whole, where time is the resource and many objects are entering the network according to a possibly nonhomogeneous Poisson pattern; in this vein, we discuss the evolution of the network over time. Finally, we consider some applications of the formulation, and results. 相似文献
436.
Damaso J. Uriburu Montes 《Defense & Security Analysis》1996,12(1):101-112
The world has been faced with a contradiction since the end of the Cold War. On the one hand, there are factors that have led to complex multi-interdepen-dency; on the other, there is a process of global disintegration caused by those very same factors. It is in this context that the Southern Cone of South America has revealed a remarkable inequality in its balance of military power. If Argentina is taken as the center of gravity of both the sub-regions in the area, the Mercado Comun del Sur (Mercosur) and the Austral Cone, it is difficult to find a solution to this imbalance because the regional structure is experiencing the same contradictions as the world itself. What is clear is that the solution depends much more on the policies adopted by Argentina than those of Chile or Brazil. To solve this dilemma, Argentina needs credibility - something that requires fundamental internal change and substantial external support. 相似文献
437.
Theodor J. Stewart 《海军后勤学研究》1985,32(2):263-274
A search model is formulated in which positive information may be obtained, through the detection of trails, as to the target's earlier whereabouts. The corresponding Bayesian update formulas for target location probabilities are derived. The model does not appear to be amenable to rigorous optimization. A moving-horizon rule, and a heuristic simplification thereof, are, however, derived. In two numerical examples it is demonstrated that actively designing for detecting trail information, through use of these moving-horizon rules, has substantial potential advantage over using, for example, myopic rules even if the positive information is adaptively incorporated into location probabilities before applying the latter rules in each time period. 相似文献
438.
John J. Kanet 《海军后勤学研究》1981,28(4):643-651
This paper considers a single-machine scheduling problem in which penalities occur when a job is completed early or late. The objective is to minimize the total penalty subject to restrictive assumptions on the due dates and penalty functions for jobs. A procedure is presented for finding an optimal schedule. 相似文献
439.
Hemiter's entropy model for brand purchase behavior has been generalized for Renyi's measure of entropy which is a more general concept than Shannon's measure of entropy used by Herniter and which includes Shannon's measure as a limiting case. The generalized model considered here is more flexible than Herniter's model since it can give different marketing statistics for different products and it can give these statistics even when only some of the brands are considered. 相似文献
440.
To location Li we are to allocate a “generator” and ni “machines” for i = 1, …,k, where n1 … n1 ≧ … ≧ nk. Although the generators and machines function independently of one another, a machine is operable only if it and the generator at its location are functioning. The problem we consider is that of finding the arrangement or allocation optimizing the number of operable machines. We show that if the objective is to maximize the expected number of operable machines at some future time, then it is best to allocate the best generator and the n1 best machines to location L1, the second-best generator and the n2-next-best machines to location L2, etc. However, this arrangement is not always stochastically optimal. For the case of two generators we give a necessary and sufficient condition that this arrangement is stochastically best, and illustrate the result with several examples. 相似文献