A note on a maximin disposal policy under nwue pricing

For the classical disposal model for selling an asset with unknown price distribution which is NWUE (new worse than used in expectation) with a given finite mean price, this note derives a policy which is maximin. The gain in using the maximin policy relative to the option of selling right away is convex decreasing in the continuation cost to mean price ratio. The relevant results of Derman, Lieberman and Ross also follow as a consequence of our analysis. Our theorem provides a practical justification of their main result on the cutoff bid for the disposal model subject to NWUE pricing.     

Stochastic duels with displacements (suppression)

The stochastic duel is extended to include the possibility of a near-miss on each round fired, which causes the opponent to displace. During displacement, the displacing contestant cannot return the fire but is still a target for his opponent. An alternative interpretation of this model is to consider the displacement time as the time a contestant's fire is suppressed by his opponent's fire and that he does not move, but merely ceases fire temporarily. All times are exponentially distributed.     

Diagnostic analysis of inventory systems: An optimization approach

The objective of a diagnostic analysis is to provide a measure of performance of an existing system and estimate the benefits of implementing a new one, if necessary. Firms expect diagnostic studies to be done promptly and inexpensively. Consequently, collection and manipulation of large quantities of data are prohibitive. In this paper we explore aggregate optimization models as tools for diagnostic analysis of inventory systems. We concentrate on the dynamic lot size problem with a family of items sharing the same setup, and on the management of perishable items. We provide upper and lower bounds on the total cost to be expected from the implementation of appropriate systems. However, the major thrust of the paper is to illustrate an approach to analyze inventory systems that could be expanded to cover a wide variety of applications. A fundamental by-product of the proposed diagnostic methodology is to identify the characteristics that items should share to be aggregated into a single family.     

Multiple resource leveling in construction systems through variation of activity intensities

The resource leveling problem for a construction system producing a stream of output units is considered. The system is modeled using a critical-path-analysis activity network, from which an extended network is developed for an integrated planning effort of all output units. Activity intensity variables are defined which measure activity demand rates for resources and consequent activity durations for the production of each output unit. A heuristic approach consisting of an iterative nonlinear programming procedure is presented which computes activity durations (intensities) for the minimization of resource capacity costs subject to meeting construction due dates. The application to a major ship overhaul project is described, in which the procedure was used to level workloads of the various labor–trade shops.     

Book reviews

Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Global Order. By Harald Muller, David Fischer, and Wolfgang Kotter. SIPRI, Oxford, Oxford University Press, (1994) ISBN 0-19-329155-8, hardback, £25.00

Conventional Arms Control: Perspectives on Verification By Sergey Koulik and Richard Kokoski, SIPRI, Oxford University Press, (1994) ISBN 0-19-829149-3 and

Implementing the Comprehensive Test Ban: New Aspects of Definition, Organisation and Verification Edited by Eric Arnett, SIPRI Research Report No. 8, Oxford University Press, (1994) ISBN 019-829188-4

Military Technological Innovation and Stability in a Changing World: Politically assessing and Influencing Weapons Innovation and Military Research and Development, By Wim A. Smit, John Grin and Lev Voronkov (eds.) VU University Press, Amsterdam, Netherlands (1992), ISBN 90-5383-158-4.

Security, democracy, and development in US - Latin American relations. By Lars Schoultz, William C. Smith and Augusto Varas (eds.) Transaction Publishers, New Brunswick (USA), and London (UK) (1994). ISBN 1-56000-760-5