Reliability of a single unit with k spares in case of the hyper-exponential and the erlang failure distribution

In this paper formulas are derived for the reliability of a single unit to which identical spares in standby are allocated, with all of these units having a hyper-exponential or Erlang distributed lifetime. Two advantages are obtained by using these distributions. First, the general procedure for calculating the effect of redundancy is applicable, in contrast with most of the common life distributions, such as Weibull. Moreover, both distributions are suitable for matching to observed curves and practical data by varying the values of the parameters, covering together most of the cases of practical interest.     

Distance-directed augmenting path algorithms for maximum flow and parametric maximum flow problems

Until recently, fast algorithms for the maximum flow problem have typically proceeded by constructing layered networks and establishing blocking flows in these networks. However, in recent years, new distance-directed algorithms have been suggested that do not construct layered networks but instead maintain a distance label with each node. The distance label of a node is a lower bound on the length of the shortest augmenting path from the node to the sink. In this article we develop two distance-directed augmenting path algorithms for the maximum flow problem. Both the algorithms run in O(n²m) time on networks with n nodes and m arcs. We also point out the relationship between the distance labels and layered networks. Using a scaling technique, we improve the complexity of our distance-directed algorithms to O(nm log U), where U denotes the largest arc capacity. We also consider applications of these algorithms to unit capacity maximum flow problems and a class of parametric maximum flow problems.     

Optimal arrangement of systems

To location L_i we are to allocate a “generator” and n_i “machines” for i = 1, …,k, where n₁ … n₁ ≧ … ≧ n_k. Although the generators and machines function independently of one another, a machine is operable only if it and the generator at its location are functioning. The problem we consider is that of finding the arrangement or allocation optimizing the number of operable machines. We show that if the objective is to maximize the expected number of operable machines at some future time, then it is best to allocate the best generator and the n₁ best machines to location L₁, the second-best generator and the n₂-next-best machines to location L₂, etc. However, this arrangement is not always stochastically optimal. For the case of two generators we give a necessary and sufficient condition that this arrangement is stochastically best, and illustrate the result with several examples.     

Constructing bimatrix games with special properties

This work is concerned primarily with presenting techniques for constructing bimatrix games with predetermined equilibrium points. Some partial results on Nash-solvability are also given.     

A tactical warfare simulation program

The Tactical Warfare Simulation Program is a procedure by which the major interactions among opposing military units and terrain features can be treated in a tactical limited warfare situation. It is a critical-area, sequence-of-event model and is programmed in SIM-SCRIPT. In this program a military unit is described by such properties as strength, size, location, velocity, and attrition rates. Some of the events which can occur to a military unit are entering/leaving terrain features, becoming engaged/disengaged with opposing units, retreating, reaching an objective, and breaking. Following a discussion of the general features of the program, a study of a hypothetical war is presented.     

Economic impact and the notion of compensated procurement

The paper consists essentially of two parts. In the first part a linear economic impact model is presented whose structure is based on subcontracting flows. The structural coefficients are defined in terms of flows per area. The model is derived from two identities that are analogous to the income and expenditure identities of national income accounting. The parameters are prime contracts and when one or several of the prime contracts are changed, the model determines the impacts of such changes on the various regions that have been selected. The impacts can be combined with regional multipliers to derive changes in regional income and regional employment. Fragmentary data for this kind of model have been collected on a one-time basis by DOD in 1965 and some results based on the data are presented. The second part of the paper is concerned with normative economics. A scheme is suggested, called compensated procurement, that outlines how the Department of Defense might employ the impact model in a macroeconomic setting. The basic idea is that a stabilization fund be established to finance an array of potential projects which are contracted for to balance sudden shifts in defense demand. Only short-run stabilization is advocated.