一种用于GAF协议的优化邻居表算法

GAF协议是一种基于地理信息的无线传感器网络路由协议,由于采用多跳传输,将导致热区的产生。提出了一种优化邻居表算法,可以有效辨识GAF虚拟网格内的节点密度,从而选择密度大的网格通行,以均衡热区能耗,延长网络寿命。仿真结果验证了该算法的可行性。     

基于贝叶斯网络的我国海上能源通道海盗袭击风险分析与实验评估

鉴于能源进口安全保障的重要性及迫切性,针对海上能源通道海盗袭击事件的不确定性与突发性,基于风险理论、贝叶斯网络、蒙特卡洛模拟等方法,建立了海上能源通道海盗袭击风险的量化评估模型,探索了快速、量化评估突发性事件的技术途径,旨在为保障我国能源进口安全提供时效性强、精确度高的决策依据。     

A theory of war finance

This paper analyses the financial and war‐spending policies of a state that faces a conflict in which defeat would result in the loss of sovereign power and in which the material consequences, conditional on avoiding defeat, are stochastic. The analysis takes explicit account of the historical experiences of lenders, who face debt repudiation if the state to whom they have lent is defeated and who also face partial default if the material consequences of the war are unfavorable for the debtor state, even if it avoids defeat. In this analysis, the state uses war debt to smooth expected consumption intertemporally in response to temporary war spending, and the state also uses contingent debt servicing to insure realized consumption against the risk associated with the material consequences of the war. An important innovation in the analysis is to treat the equilibrium amount of war spending, the state's resulting probability of avoiding defeat, as well as the equilibrium amount of borrowing as a set of endogenous variables to be determined simultaneously.     

Comparison between constant‐stress and step‐stress accelerated life tests under Time Constraint

By running life tests at higher stress levels than normal operating conditions, accelerated life testing (ALT) quickly yields information on the lifetime distribution of a test unit. The lifetime at the design stress is then estimated through extrapolation using a regression model. In constant‐stress testing, a unit is tested at a fixed stress level until failure or the termination time point of test, whereas step‐stress testing allows the experimenter to gradually increase the stress levels at some prefixed time points during the test. In this work, the optimal k‐level constant‐stress and step‐stress ALTs are compared for the exponential failure data under complete sampling and Type‐I censoring. The objective is to quantify the advantage of using the step‐stress testing relative to the constant‐stress one. Assuming a log‐linear life–stress relationship with the cumulative exposure model for the effect of changing stress in step‐stress testing, the optimal design points are determined under C/D/A‐optimality criteria. The efficiency of step‐stress testing to constant‐stress one is then discussed in terms of the ratio of optimal objective functions based on the information matrix. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 00: 000–000, 2013     

舰炮射击海上弹着点声学测量方法及精度仿真

本文提出了利用声传感器测量舰炮射击海上弹着点的方法,并建立了基本方程。对测量系统的原理和测量信息的传输方式进行了分析,在此基础上,对声传感器位置误差、测时误差及二者综合作用对测量精度的影响分别进行了仿真计算,证明测量原理可行,测量精度满足要求。     

Better is the Neighbor?

Abstract

This study applies the Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM), to investigate the convergence properties of the military expenditure of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) during the period of 1990–2015. Compared to the traditional methods, SPSM considers fundamentally general spatial homogeneous and heterogeneous relationships with countries and examines the evolution of military expenditure. We find that four-fifths of NATO member countries have been convergent with the UK, but no country’s military expenditure is convergent with the US. This means that there is no significant linkage effect in the US for NATO military expenditure. While they are allies of the US, the majority of NATO member countries’ military expenditures are consistent with UK military expenditure. The main reasons are due to the geographical space layout and the international relationship convergence. The results indicate that more than four-fifths of NATO member countries have been coordinated with convergence theory and spillover effect.     

基于Vega的战术与火力协同作战视景仿真系统

为了评估战术与火力协同作战对抗效能,建立了分布式战术与火力协同作战对抗网络仿真系统,给出系统框架并介绍各节点功能,详细介绍了视景仿真系统的实现方法和关键技术。基于Vega仿真软件环境开发了战场中的各种复杂场景特效,解决了非视觉物理量的可视化问题;利用Visual C++开发了视景仿真程序,解决了视景驱动和自动视点切换等具体问题。仿真结果表明视景系统可以逼真演示战术与火力协同作战过程并给出作战效能的直观评估。     

在任职教育中开发学员任职经验的探讨

任职教育是在受训学员有着一定的任职经验基础上,提高岗位任职能力的一种短期培训。在教学实施过程中,必须注重挖掘任职经验,交流任职经验,再把经验上升为理论从而去指导部队实践。这种任职经验的开发,有利于在教学过程中按需施教,扩大师生的视野,丰富教学资源,实现理论与实践的统一,有效达成任职教育的目标。     

空中目标类型识别的直觉模糊集方法

在防空作战中为了有效地对空中目标的类型进行识别,利用直觉模糊集理论对目标识别信息的不确定性进行量化处理,并在直觉模糊数排序方法研究基础上,提出了一种基于直觉模糊集理论的空中目标类型识别方法。实例分析表明,该方法能够定量描述目标判断信息的不确定性以及在避免信息丢失的同时有效地处理不确定性程度较高的目标判断信息,可为防空作战中目标类型识别提供理论参考。     

俄罗斯加强空军航空兵武器系统中无人机的作用和地位

文章综述了俄罗斯将研制和使用能完成两种不同任务的带新型无人机的多用途航空综合体,造价和使用成本更低,以更新空军航空兵武器系统组成,更好完成未来局部战争中赋予空军的任务。