Flexible supply contracts for short life‐cycle goods: The buyer's perspective

In this paper we analyze a two‐period supply contract which allows for order adjustment by the buyer. The buyer is required to place orders for two periods. After observing initial demand, the buyer is then allowed to adjust the second order, paying a per unit order adjustment penalty. We describe the optimal behavior of the buyer under such a contract, both in determining the initial order quantities and in subsequently adjusting the order. We compare the solution to a contract where no adjustment is allowed and to the case where adjustment is allowed without penalty. We demonstrate that flexible contracts can reduce the potentially negative effect of correlation of demand between two periods. Further, we investigate how the duration of the first period vis‐à‐vis the second period affects the profitability of the buyer as a function of the degree of correlation. © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 49: 25–45, 2002; DOI 10.1002/nav.10002     

Operational Combat Analysis of the Al Qaeda Network

Contemporary network organizational structures have gradually developed over the last decades of the twentieth century. These new structures are challenging the traditional hierarchical structure form in a number of venues. In conflict and war, they made their potentials unequivocally known on 11 September 2001 via Al Qaeda's strategic suicide bombings against the United States. To better understand the military potentials of networks, an operational combat analysis of the Al Qaeda network was conducted. This analysis, a modification of weapons systems analysis, focused on network speed, along with offensive, defensive and combat multiplier attributes. Such analysis allows for a better understanding of the military capabilities and vulnerabilities of non-state OPFORs (opposing forces) and our own emergent counter-insurgency networks.     

The determination of optimal base-stock inventory policy when the costs of under- and oversupply are uncertain

This article considers the determination of the optimal base-stock inventory policy for the newsboy inventory model when there is uncertainty about either or both of its basic cost inputs: either C_u, the marginal cost of an undersupply mistake, or C_o, the marginal cost of an oversupply mistake. Such uncertainties often arise in implementing the newsboy model, especially with respect to C_u, whose value depends mostly on the often-imponderable economic consequences of a lost sale or backorder. Given this uncertainty, we use decision theory to propose and analyze two measures of policy “goodness” and two base-stock selection criteria, which in combination provide four alternative “optimal” base-stock policies. Formulas and/or conditions defining each alternative policy are provided. Our empirical study indicates that the recommended policy can be quite sensitive to the measure/criterion chosen, and that the consequences of the wrong choice can be quite considerable.     

Warranty reserving

This paper considers a problem of warranty reserving, namely, the current practice of setting aside part of a product revenue to meet future claims arising from the warranty. We define a Compound Poisson stochastic model for warranty claims and reserve and obtain, using a sample paths technique, the long-run probability distribution of a warranty reserves, managed under alternative warranties and reserve policies.     

Transient solution of a finite-capacity M/Ga,b/1 queueing system

In this article we consider a single-server, bulk-service queueing system in which the waiting room is of finite capacity. Arrival process is Poisson and all the arrivals taking place when the waiting room is full are lost. The service times are generally distributed independent random variables and the distribution is depending on the batch size being served. Using renewal theory, we derive the time-dependent solution for the system-size probabilities at arbitrary time points. Also we give expressions for the distribution of virtual waiting time in the queue at any time t.     

Multicriteria efficiency with arbitrary finite sets and cyclic preferences

It is shown that when X is an arbitrary finite subset of an n-factor product set and preference relations on each factor or criterion are assumed only to be asymmetric, efficient (undominated) points always exist in the set P of probability distributions on X when the preference relations are extended to probability distributions on the factors according to SSB utility theory. Thus, arbitrary finite structures and potentially cyclic preferences do not present a problem for the theory of efficiency under the convexification-extension procedure.     

A duality model for a generalized minmax program

We consider a generalized minmax programming problem, and establish, under certain weaker convexity assumptions, the Fritz John sufficient optimality conditions for such a problem. A dual program is introduced and using those optimality conditions duality theorems are proved relating the dual and the primal. Duality for the generalized fractional programming problem is considered as an application of the results proved.     

Cost allocation in continuous-review inventory models

A centralized inventory system serves a number of stores with common ownership, and thus reliable and timely information sharing. Each of them pays a share of the inventory cost, and the reward structure leaves the owners of individual stores rewarded for their individual performance. Appropriate selection of a cost allocation method is important if such a centralized system is to last. In this work we propose three necessary criteria—stability (core of a related cooperative game), justifiability (consistency of benefits with costs), and polynomial computability. For a concrete example we demonstrate that common allocation procedures may not meet all three tests, and we present a method that that meets all three criteria. This kind of cost allocation analysis helps the common management to evaluate the trade-offs in choosing an allocation scheme for the cost of inventory centralization. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

The maximum collection problem with time-dependent rewards

We consider a routing problem where the objective is to maximize the sum of the rewards collected at the nodes visited. Node rewards are decreasing linear functions of time. Time is spent when traveling between pairs of nodes, and while visiting the nodes. We propose a penalty-based greedy (heuristic) algorithm and a branch-and-bound (optimal) algorithm for this problem. The heuristic is very effective in obtaining good solutions. We can solve problems with up to 20 nodes optimally on a microcomputer using the branch-and-bound algorithm. We report our computational experience with this problem. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.