Fully sequential indifference‐zone selection procedures with variance‐dependent sampling

Fully sequential indifference‐zone selection procedures have been proposed in the simulation literature to select the system with the best mean performance from a group of simulated systems. However, the existing sequential indifference‐zone procedures allocate an equal number of samples to the two systems in comparison even if their variances are drastically different. In this paper we propose new fully sequential indifference‐zone procedures that allocate samples according to the variances. We show that the procedures work better than several existing sequential indifference‐zone procedures when variances of the systems are different. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

双基地雷达抗干扰模型的研究

从双基地雷达方程和实施压制性噪声干扰前后所带来的热噪声的变化出发,给出了双基地雷达探测区和干扰暴露区的计算模型,分析计算了在自卫式干扰和远距离支援干扰条件下的双基地雷达抗有源压制性干扰性能,并与单基地雷达情况进行了比较,说明收发分置的双基地体制雷达具有较强的抗干扰能力。给出了仿真算例,结果验证了这种观点。     

轻型机械化部队装备发展研究

全面分析了轻型机械化部队装备发展事关我军战略转变成败的大局, 事关我军机械化和信息化双重历史任务的实现,事关陆军在未来军队建设和维护国家安全中的地位和作用。重点阐释了轻型机械化部队装备发展的指导原则、基本思路和把握的关键问题。     

基于WER的指挥信息系统功能需求指标体系构建方法

合理确定系统的功能需求是建设指挥信息系统的重要前提,而科学构建功能需求指标体系是确定功能需求的重要内容。由于受经验、环境、能力多方面的影响,指挥信息系统功能需求的确定过程中常常包含着许多定性的、随机的和模糊的因素,影响到了指标体系的有效性和稳定性。提出的基于WER的指标体系构建方法,综合运用定性和定量方法,通过权重估计(Weight estimate)、效度判断(Effect estimate)和可靠性判断(Reliability coefficient estimate),较好地解决了指挥信息系统功能需求指标体系构建中全面性、代表性、有效性和稳定性的问题。     

Changing the paradigm: Simulation,now a method of first resort

Decades ago, simulation was famously characterized as a “method of last resort,” to which analysts should turn only “when all else fails.” In those intervening decades, the technologies supporting simulation—computing hardware, simulation‐modeling paradigms, simulation software, design‐and‐analysis methods—have all advanced dramatically. We offer an updated view that simulation is now a very appealing option for modeling and analysis. When applied properly, simulation can provide fully as much insight, with as much precision as desired, as can exact analytical methods that are based on more restrictive assumptions. The fundamental advantage of simulation is that it can tolerate far less restrictive modeling assumptions, leading to an underlying model that is more reflective of reality and thus more valid, leading to better decisions. Published 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 293–303, 2015     

‘Kadyrovtsy’: Russia’s Counterinsurgency Strategy and the Wars of Paramilitary Clans

This article analyses the steps taken by the Russian government, with the aid of a powerful local clan, the so-called Kadyrovtsy, to subdue the Chechen insurgency. It highlights the strategy used by Russia, under whose patronage former anti-Russian guerrilla fighters were transformed into paramilitary allies of the Russian government; later these former insurgents were incorporated into the regular Russian army and other state security forces. The article also identifies problems that are connected with the activities of the Kadyrovtsy in Chechnya and Russia, and the spillover into the diaspora; it also contextualises the issues faced by the contemporary Chechen ruling clan and the geopolitics of the Caucasus within the research framework of paramilitarism and counterinsurgency.     

基于分岔理论的数字液压缸稳定性分析与设计

为将分岔理论应用于数字液压缸稳定性分析与设计,对系统非线性模型进行了等价变换和光滑处理,同时为克服刚性问题影响,基于量纲分析理论通过选择合适的基本量将模型无因次化,并采用预测-校正延拓法确保分岔求解的精度和效率。在各自可行区间内,对重要参数和不确定参数进行了单参数分岔分析,结果表明:数字液压缸的初始设计具有一定的稳定裕度和鲁棒性,系统受不确定参数的影响较小;运用分岔理论,能够有效揭示各参数对系统动态稳定性的影响,为系统参数设计提供指导。     

多弯头管道磁致伸缩导波无损检测技术

为了研究超声导波在弯管中的传播特性及检测可行性,使用磁致伸缩导波仪器及传感器对多弯头管道进行了检测实验,并对弯管中导波的传播速度、模态转换、能量衰减等现象进行了探讨。结果表明:当弯管弯曲程度较小时,弯管中导波传播速度与直管中近似;弯管中导波存在明显的模态转换现象;弯管中导波能量随着时间近似呈指数形式衰减,且衰减规律与激励频率存在密切联系。该研究结果可以为复杂结构弯曲管道的导波检测提供参考。     

空间紫外目标探测系统技术研究

为了有助于紫外探测系统的不断发展和应用,尤其是在空间军事上的广泛应用.首先,在阐述紫外探测系统组成与工作原理的基础上,提出系统的主要技术性能,分析紫外光学系统的技术特点,以及真空型和固体型2类紫外探测器的技术现状.其次,从目标的时间特性、运动特性和辐射特性角度研究空间紫外目标特性,并进一步归纳紫外大气传输影响因素.再次,借鉴红外目标信号处理方法,探讨紫外弱目标信号处理与检测方法.最后,指出紫外探测系统发展需要解决的若干关键技术.对于紫外目标探测系统技术的发展与深入研究,具有一定的理论指导作用.