THE LONG‐RUN RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DEFENCE EXPENDITURES AND GDP IN TAIWAN

Using the Solow–Swan growth model and the time‐trend included in the aggregate production function, this study applies the multivariate cointegration approach to re‐investigate the long‐run and causal relationships between defence expenditures and GDP while controlling for capital and labour input in Taiwan during the 1955–2002 period. It examines the long‐run causal relationship using the weak exogeneity test and utilizes general impulse response functions to determine whether a shock to defence expenditures affects economic growth or vice versa. Our findings provide substantive evidence in favour of the existence of a long‐run equilibrium cointegrated relationship between defence expenditures, GDP, labour and capital stock. The results of the weak exogeneity test indicate that a bi‐directional causal relationship exists in the long‐run between defence expenditures and GDP. Thus, the main policy implication that emerges from the long‐run results is that increasing defence expenditures in Taiwan is an effective means to boost overall economic performance and, with this improved economy, it should then be able to increase its defence expenditures further. Lastly, from our dynamic vector error correction model estimations, it is found that defence expenditures are a major means of adjusting for disequilibria that occur within the system.     

EFFECTS OF MILITARY SPENDING ON THE PROFITABILITY OF SPANISH DEFENCE CONTRACTORS

The traditional view of the defence industry obtaining large profits from contracts with the Ministry of Defence relies on several assumptions. Among these are the use of such arrangements as an instrument of industrial policy, the strong market power enjoyed by prime contractors, and the inefficiency encouraged by the sector. The findings show that defence contracts have a positive effect on profits, as well as the prizes for innovation and the market power enjoyed by some defence subsectors.     

MILITARY EXPENDITURE AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATES: GRANGER CAUSALITY TESTS USING GLOBAL PANEL DATA

This paper investigates the empirical relationships between military expenditure and unemployment rates. A set of global panel data on 46 countries is utilized, and a panel data version of the Granger causality test is applied. The results indicate that there is little evidence of the causality running from unemployment to military expenditure regardless of how we measure military spending and determine group countries. In contrast, the causality running from military expenditure to unemployment receives empirical support if military expenditure is measured in terms of its share of GDP and if data are taken from middle‐ and low‐income countries or non‐OECD countries.     

Export controls,market structure and international coordination

We look at the different ways of aggregating the exports of dual use products to give the security perception of exporter countries and their consistency with the relevant export control regimes. Also, we analyze different models of export controls highlighting the role of the perception of security, market structure and competition between exporting firms in determining the existence of multiple equilibria and therefore, the need for coordination between countries in setting export controls.     

阈下知觉及其应用初探

作为认知心理学研究和信息技术交融发展的产物,阈下信息技术在广告及政治宣传等领域的运用得到广泛关注,而阈下知觉的存在及其作用原理则是支撑该技术有效性的关键问题之一.文章通过分析阈下知觉的准确定义,其存在的心理生理学证据及其作用原理在各种领域的应用,提出了对阈下知觉未来研究方向的展望,这对破除部分研究者对阈下知觉的偏见,拓宽该领域研究思路具有一定价值.     

月桂酸二乙醇酰胺对聚α-烯烃理化性能的影响

聚α-烯烃是应用十分广泛的润滑剂产品,在保证使用性能前提下提高其生物降解性具有十分重要的现实意义。选择前期实验中对矿物基础油生物降解性具有较大促进作用的月桂酸二乙醇酰胺作为生物降解促进剂,考察其对聚α-烯烃PAO 40生物降解性、抗磨减摩性、抗氧化安定性及黏度指数的影响。实验结果表明:月桂酸二乙醇酰胺既能有效促进PAO 40生物降解,也能一定程度上改善PAO 40的抗磨减摩性能,但对其抗氧化安定性及黏度指数影响不大。作为生物降解促进剂,月桂酸二乙醇酰胺在保证聚α-烯烃使用性能的基础上能有效提高后者的生物降解性,具有较大的实用价值。     

保凸插值样条曲线的一种构造方法

本文提出了一种描述保凸三次参数插值曲线的新算法。算法构造局部、计算简单有效,算法对开曲线和闭曲线都适合,最后给出了几个曲线构造的例子。     

着陆冲击试验系统设计及大型橡胶容器试验验证

为确保大型橡胶容器的运输适航性,依据中国民用航空局对运输类飞机的应急着陆过载要求,开展着陆冲击试验系统设计。通过冲击平台仿真设计与校核、波形发生器仿真设计、摆锤系统与导向机构设计,构建了着陆冲击试验系统,有效负载约达20 t,最大冲击载荷达到400 t。选取大型橡胶容器作为典型空运物资进行应急着陆实装试验验证,结果表明:冲击波形均近似为三角波,与仿真曲线波形相似,过载峰值分别为侧向1.54g、航向3.06g、9.02g、16.20g,与目标峰值最大相对误差小于3%,峰值对应时间大于50 ms,试验系统符合设计要求。该试验系统可用于空运平台的研制,对于确保飞行安全、降低研制风险、提高空运适航性具有重要的意义。     

污泥龄对污泥絮体中磷酸盐形态及其动态变化的影响

以污泥龄(SRT)为10 d和30 d的2组A/O-SBR反应器活性污泥为研究对象,探讨了SRT对污泥絮体中磷酸盐形态及其动态变化的影响。结果表明,污泥絮体中的磷主要分布于胞外聚合物(EPS),EPS磷占污泥絮体磷总质量的69.45%~73.36%。正磷酸盐(PO3-4-P)、低分子量聚磷酸盐(LMW Poly-P)和高分子量聚磷酸盐(HMW Poly-P)是污泥絮体磷的主要形态。高SRT(30 d)污泥絮体EPS磷含量明显大于中SRT(10 d),表现为前者较后者有更高的PO3-4-P和HMW Poly-P含量,对应着高SRT(30 d)污泥絮体较中SRT(10 d)有更高的磷含量,前者约为后者的1.37倍。厌氧/好氧反应过程中,中SRT(10 d)污泥絮体EPS磷的厌氧降低量和好氧升高量分别为高SRT(30 d)的1.35倍和1.46倍,主要归因于前者的PO3-4-P和HMW Poly-P较后者有更大的厌氧降低量,而PO3-4-P,LMW Poly-P和HMW Poly-P较后者有更大的好氧升高量,对应着中SRT(10 d)污泥絮体较高SRT(30 d)有更强的厌氧释磷和好氧吸磷能力。