Heuristic scheduling of resource-constrained projects with cash flows

Resource-constrained project scheduling with cash flows occurs in many settings, ranging from research and development to commercial and residential construction. Although efforts have been made to develop efficient optimal procedures to maximize the net present value of cash flows for resource-constrained projects, the inherent intractability of the problem has led to the development of a variety of heuristic methods to aid in the development of near-optimal schedules for large projects. This research focuses on the use of insights gained from the solution of a relaxed optimization model in developing heuristic procedures to schedule projects with multiple constrained resources. It is shown that a heuristic procedure with embedded priority rules that uses information from the revised solution of a relaxed optimization model increases project net present value. The heuristic procedure and nine different embedded priority rules are tested in a variety of project environments that account for different network structures, levels of resource constrainedness, and cash-flow parameters. Extensive testing with problems ranging in size from 21 to 1000 activities shows that the new heuristic procedures dominate heuristics using information from the critical path method (CPM), and in most cases outperform heuristics from previous research. The best performing heuristic rules classify activities into priority and secondary queues according to whether they lead to immediate progress payments, thus front loading the project schedule. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 365–381, 1997     

Robustness of the normal approximation of lead-time demand in a distribution setting

Previous studies criticize the general use of the normal approximation of lead-time demand on the grounds that it can lead to serious errors in safety stock. We reexamine this issue for the distribution of fast-moving finished goods. We first determine the optimal reorder points and quantities by using the classical normal-approximation method and a theoretically correct procedure. We then evaluate the misspecification error of the normal approximation solution with respect to safety stock, logistics-system costs, total costs (logistics costs, including acquisition costs), and fill rates. The results provide evidence that the normal approximation is robust with respect to both cost and service for seven major industry groups. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 165–186, 1997     

An economic sequential screening procedure for limited failure populations

An economic sequential screening procedure is considered for limited failure populations in which defective items fail soon after they are put in operation and nondefective ones never fail during the technical life of the items. A cost model is constructed that involves screening test cost and external failure cost. A sequential scheme that minimizes the expected cost is derived from the solution of a dynamic programming formulation and the optimal decision at each stage is obtained in a closed form. © 1994 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

Scheduling jobs that are subject to failure propagation

A single machine is available to process a collection of stochastic tasks. Processing is interrupted when the machine breaks down. We introduce a new model of breakdowns that more realistically incorporates the effects that job processing may have on the machine. This failure propagation model is equivalent to a Bayesian formulation in which learning about breakdown rates occurs as jobs evolve. Optimal scheduling policies are described in terms of Gittins indices and these indices are characterised in two special cases. For example, we obtain conditions which ensure that an optimal policy will only preempt a job's processing either at its completion or at a machine breakdown. We also bound the value lost by simplistic modelling which ignores the learning phenomenon. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

The customer order lead-time problem on parallel machines

We consider the problem of scheduling customer orders, each consisting of one or more individual jobs, on a set of parallel processors with the objective of minimizing average order completion time. We provide simple intuitive heuristics to guide managers in this environment and introduce lower bounds that show that these heuristics are effective for a wide variety of problems. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

The maximum collection problem with time-dependent rewards

We consider a routing problem where the objective is to maximize the sum of the rewards collected at the nodes visited. Node rewards are decreasing linear functions of time. Time is spent when traveling between pairs of nodes, and while visiting the nodes. We propose a penalty-based greedy (heuristic) algorithm and a branch-and-bound (optimal) algorithm for this problem. The heuristic is very effective in obtaining good solutions. We can solve problems with up to 20 nodes optimally on a microcomputer using the branch-and-bound algorithm. We report our computational experience with this problem. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

Single-machine scheduling of stochastic jobs subject to deterioration or delay

N jobs are available for processing by a single machine. Jobs make (stochastic) progress while being processed but deteriorate while awaiting processing. The pioneering work of Browne and Yechiali, who developed scheduling policies for such models, is extended (i) to incorporate a precedence relation on the job set, delimiting the class of admissible policies, and (ii) to preemptive scheduling models. For the latter, we demonstrate that under appropriate conditions there is an optimal policy which is nonpreemptive. This is also achieved for a class of preemptive models in which processing generates delays for waiting jobs. A single class of algorithms is shown to generate optimal policies for many of the problems considered. © 1992 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

Present practices and future plans for MIL-STD-781

MIL-STD-781 specifies reliability acceptance test procedures based on both fixed-length tests and probability ratio sequential tests. The assumption underlying MIL-STD-781 is a constant mean time between failures (MTBF) and typical practice applies MIL-STD-781 to electrical, electronic, and mechanical equipment. This article discusses some of the difficulties that have prompted the C and D revisions of MIL-STD-781. In addition, it discusses the relationship of MIL-STD-781 with MIL-STD-1635(EC) which deals with reliability growth testing. The article concludes with a discussion of needed research in reliability growth testing, in support of MIL-STD-781, and in the area of stress and its impact of MTBF.     

Some recent findings in bayesian attribute single and double sampling

This article deals with several items, including theoretical and applied results. Specific topics include (1) a discrete, economically based, attributes acceptance sampling model and its adaptations, (2) relevant costs, (3) relevant prior distributions, (4) comparison of single- and double-sampling results, and (5) reasons for marginal implementation success following excellent implementation efforts. The basic model used is one developed by Guthrie and Johns; adaptations include provisions for fixed costs as well as modifications to permit double sampling. Optimization is exact, rather than approximate. Costs incorporated into the model are for sampling inspection, lot acceptance, and lot rejection. For each of these three categories a fixed cost is included as well as two variable costs, one for each item and the other for each defective item. Discrete prior distributions for the number of defectives in a lot are used exclusively. These include the mixed binomial and Polya distributions. Single- and double-sampling results are compared. Double sampling regularly performs at only slightly lower cost per lot than single sampling. Also, some cost and prior distribution sensitivity results are presented. Comments are provided regarding actual implementation experiences in industry. Practical deficiencies with the Bayesian approach are described, and a recommendation for future research is offered.     

Mexico: a model for success

In Mexico, a 40 year period of political stability and economic advancement, hailed for its high rates of growth in income per capita, rapid urbanization, and impressive gains in indicators of health and education, seemed to come to a halt in the early 1980s. Since the early 1970s, fertility has declined sharply in chronological association with a new population policy and the implementation of a national family planning program. If in 1940 there was no apparent reason for the Mexican state to have much interest in limiting fertility, such was no longer the case by 1970. The General Law of Population that had been passed in 1947 was laced with the expansionist ideology that dominated demographic issues for more that a century; its pro-natalism had been reinforced by health regulations prohibiting the sale and use of contraceptives and by a penal code that made abortion a crime. Between 1970 and 1981 the total fertility rate fell by about 39%. Since 1975, change in contraceptive practice accounts for the bulk of the measured fertility decline. Between 1976 and 1982 there was a 66% increase in contraceptive prevalence. The government's involvement in family planning activities helped to: 1) develop an effective contraceptive distribution system; 2) circulate extensive information, education, and communication publicizing fertility and images of the small family; and 3) mobilize health practitioners in public institutions to counsel and persuade their clients to accept and practice contraception. The emerging debate over population policy in Brazil may well prefigure debates in other Latin American countries; the recent democratization in Brazil is the vocalization of a demand from women's groups and the left for government provided family planning services. Overall, Mexico's willingness to take the long view tackle the birth rate issue head on is likely to remain an exception in Latin America.