作战试验样本量的通用化估算方法

作为维持国防科技可持续发展的基本动力,国防采办包含大量的验证和确认环节.其中,最重要的是作战试验.它以模拟实战的考察方式,预测被试武器装备在未来战场的适用性和预定作战任务的完成情况,并据此决策是否批量采购这些产品.由于作战试验耗资巨大,不当选择样本量将造成试验资源的严重浪费.归纳总结了作战试验最常见的统计检验,推导了作战试验样本量通用化的估算方法,通过算例演示了该方法具有良好的精度和灵活性,为后续作战试验样本量估算的标准化提供了理论依据.     

作战试验定性数据处理及样本量估算方法

定性数据是武器装备作战试验中的常见数据类型,但目前对于依据该类数据推断试验结论及相关样本量估算的研究还非常有限.探讨了作战试验中定性数据的特征,基于二分检验给出了考核作战试验定性数据的数学模型与样本量估算方法,基于算例验证了方法的有效性,并对应用该方法的一些特殊问题进行了讨论,可对后续开展作战试验提供有用参考.     

我国舰船配套动员能力现状、问题与对策 ——基于供应链视角的研究

舰船配套动员能力是现代化条件下海上作战能力的重要基础和根本保障。从供应链视角看,我国舰船配套动员能力仍存在诸多不足,亟待提升。本文对我国舰船配套动员能力现状进行初步评价,重点分析当前我国舰船配套动员面临的若干突出问题,如产业集中度较低、部分关键零部件可替代性差、服务保障体系不完善、供应链体系整体安全缺乏有效保障等,结合我国船舶工业发展现状,提出提升舰船配套动员能力的方向与策略,如系统提升动员供给能力、逐步实现全面自主可控、切实保障动员快速响应、着力抓好民船改装征用、有效扩展社会动员基础、确保战时生产正常稳定、健全维修服务保障体系等,并给出完善舰船配套动员工作机制、强化舰船配套动员能力建设、提高舰船配套供应链管理水平、加强舰船配套动员人才培养等相关政策建议。     

Force chains based mesoscale simulation on the dynamic response of Al-PTFE granular composites

Force chains based mesoscale simulation is conducted to investigate the response behavior of aluminum-polytetrafluoroethylene (Al-PTFE) granular composites under a low-velocity impact. A two-dimensional model followed the randomly normal distribution of real Al particles size is developed. The dynamic compressive process of Al-PTFE composites with varied Al mass fraction is simulated and validated against the experiments. The results indicate that, force chains behavior governed by the number and the size of agglomerated Al particles, significantly affects the impact response of the material. The failure mode of the material evolves from shear failure of matrix to debonding failure of particles with increasing density. A high crack area of the material is critical mechanism to arouse the initiation re-action. The damage maintained by force chains during large plastic strain builds up more local stresses concentration to enhance a possible reaction performance. In addition, simulation is performed with identical mass fraction but various Al size distribution to explore the effects of size centralization and dispersion on the mechanical properties of materials. It is found that smaller sized Al particle of com-posites are more preferred than its bulky material in ultimate strength. Increasing dispersed degree is facilitated to create stable force chains in samples with comparable particle number. The simulation studies provide further insights into the plastic deformation, failure mechanism, and possible energy release capacity for Al-PTFE composites, which is helpful for further design and application of reactive materials.     

Transverse relaxation characteristic and stress relaxation model considering molecular chains of HTPB coating based on pre-strained thermal aging

In order to accurately describe the transverse relaxation characteristic and stress relaxation modulus of HTPB coating during pre-strain thermal aging process, a one month thermal aging test was carried out at 70 C with pre-strain of 0％, 3％, 6％ and 9％, respectively. The low-field 1H NMR and stress relaxation modulus tests were carried out for HTPB coating at different aging stages. The stress relaxation model considering the molecular chains was proposed according to the changes of crosslinking chain and dangling chain of HTPB coating during pre-strain aging. The results showed that with the increase of aging time, the decay rate of transverse relaxation curve became faster, the transverse relaxation time decreased, the value of combined parameter qMrl increased, the proportion of crosslinking chain decreased, while the proportion of dangling chain increased. Moreover, the stress relaxation modulus increased, the crosslinking network structure of HTPB coating became denser and the degree of cross-linking increased. At the initial aging stage, the pre-strain will destroy the crosslinking network structure of HTPB coating to a certain extent. With the increase of aging time, the effect of pre-strain will gradually weaken and the influence of aging on materials will gradually increase. The correlations between the stress relaxation model considering the molecular chains and the test results were more than 0.9950, which can accurately describe the stress relaxation modulus of HTPB coating during the pre-strain thermal aging process.     

Visual-attention gabor filter based online multi-armored target tracking

The multi-armored target tracking (MATT) plays a crucial role in coordinated tracking and strike. The occlusion and insertion among targets and target scale variation is the key problems in MATT. Most state-of-the-art multi-object tracking (MOT) works adopt the tracking-by-detection strategy, which rely on compute-intensive sliding window or anchoring scheme in detection module and neglect the target scale variation in tracking module. In this work, we proposed a more efficient and effective spatial-temporal attention scheme to track multi-armored target in the ground battlefield. By simulating the structure of the retina, a novel visual-attention Gabor filter branch is proposed to enhance detection. By introducing temporal information, some online learned target-specific Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) are adopted to address occlusion. More importantly, we built a MOT dataset for armored targets, called Armored Target Tracking dataset (ATTD), based on which several comparable experiments with state-of-the-art methods are conducted. Experimental results show that the proposed method achieves outstanding tracking performance and meets the actual application requirements.     

国外动能轨道武器概念与发展动向

空间即将成为下一个战场,国外正在空间迅猛发展与应用日趋成熟的动能武器。介绍了国外动能轨道武器的基本概念、组成与发展现状,讨论了动能轨道武器的地位与作用,分析了国外动能轨道武器发展需求、能对付的目标威胁及其关键技术。     

坦克外部磁场的有限元分析

采用有限元数值计算方法,参考坦克的旋转椭球模型的计算公式,对坦克外部的磁场进行了计算机模拟计算.     

信息化战争中的纳米科技

纳米材料由于其独特的光、电、力、磁效应近年来受到人们广泛的关注,综述了目前国内外纳米科技的研究动态,着重介绍了现有纳米科技在高科技战争中的应用,及其潜在的发展方向．     

对消防刑事案件侦查中几个问题的思考

公安消防机构对“两案”刑事管辖权的确立与相关法律法规的滞后,引发了“两案”侦查的先天缺陷与不足,表现为侦查与调查的错位,管辖分工不明确和立案标准的不统一、不规范等问题。对上述问题的研究,不但可以解决“两案”办理的实际问题,还能弥补“两案”侦查理论研究的不足。