基于数据驱动的自学习防空火力控制技术

立足打赢未来智能化战争的作战需求,提高目标探测识别、运动参数估计的实时性和准确性,解决自主拦截决策建模难度大、决策结果稳定性差等问题,通过引入数据挖掘、深度学习、神经网络等人工智能技术,重点开展基于大数据的多类型目标状态空间模型分析、多探测模式下的目标融合识别技术、基于卷积神经网络的射击诸元修正等,研制一套自学习防空火力控制系统,有效弥补传统防空火力控制技术在时敏目标状态空间模型、大闭环校射、协同信息处理、控制决策等环节的不足,提升火控系统自修正、自学习能力,为武器装备向无人化智能化方向发展提供技术支撑.     

Storage life prediction under pre-strained thermally-accelerated aging of HTPB coating using the change of crosslinking density

In order to predict the storage life of a certain type of HTPB (hydroyl-terminated polybutadiene) coating at 25 C and analyze the influence of pre-strain on the storage life, the accelerated aging tests of HTPB coating at 40 C, 50 C, 60 C, 70 C with the pre-strain of 0%, 3%, 6%, 9%, respectively were carried out. The variation regularity of the change of crosslinking density was analyzed and the aging model of HTPB coating under pre-strained thermally-accelerated aging was proposed. The storage life of HTPB coating at 25 C was estimated by using the Berthelot equation as the end point of the aging life with a 30% decrease in maximum elongation. The results showed that the change of crosslinking density of HTPB coating increased with the increase of aging temperature and aging time, and decreased with the in-crease of pre-strain. Under 0% pre-strain, the relationship between the change of crosslinking density of HTPB coating and the aging time can be described by the logarithmic model with the confidence probability greater than 99%.The stress relaxation phenomenon existed under 3%, 6% and 9% pre-strained aging. The aging model considering chemical aging and pre-strain was established with the confidence probability greater than 90%. The storage life of HTPB coating was 15.2935 years at 25 C under 0% pre-strain, which was reduced by 13.9007%, 75.6949% and 89.7859% under 3%, 6% and 9% pre-strain, respectively. The existence of pre-strain has a serious impact on the storage life of HTPB coating, therefore, the pre-strain should be avoided as much as possible during the actual storage.     

基于动态时间规整下密度聚类的轨迹识别研究

为使地空导弹兵模拟训练系统获得的目标机动轨迹更加贴近实战、更有依据性,考虑对演习训练产生的轨迹数据进行分析,设计了DBSCAN(Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise,针对有噪声数据的基于密度的空间聚类)预分类的DBSCAN改进DTW(Dynamic Time Warping,动态时间归整)聚类算法来分析机动轨迹.并与未预分类的DBSCAN改进DTW聚类算法进行对比,发现其运行效率和分类准确度方面均较优.同时分析了数据结构和算法的参数对分类效果的影响,发现数据规模越大,DBSCAN预分类的DBSCAN改进DTW聚类算法的优势越明显.通过仿真得到了使DBSCAN预分类的DBSCAN改进DTW聚类算法发挥最高效率的参数.     

国内装备采购研究现状与趋势研究——基于CiteSpace知识图谱软件的可视化分析

本文利用CiteSpace知识图谱分析和可视化工具,从时间分布、期刊来源和作者机构等方面对CNKI中文期刊全文数据库2001年1月1日至2020年6月30日间收录的以"装备采购"为关键词的642篇学术论文及文献进行数据可视化分析,并通过关键词词频共现分析对该领域的高频关键词进行了词频统计。在利用CiteSpace软件对"装备采购"相关文献进行统计分析后,详细论述了装备采购研究的发展趋势,并总结出目前军队装备采购研究的现状与不足,如军队内部科研力量作为装备采购领域研究的核心组成部分,相互间缺乏交流研究;装备采购领域研究方向多元,但基础理论、概念研究不够深入等。在此基础上梳理出优化后期装备采购领域研究发展的建议,以期为完善军队装备采购领域的研究工作提供一定参考。     

装备制造基础数据治理体系建设研究

数据治理是数据管理的核心职能。装备制造业务涉及设计、生产、试验、综合保障以及计划管理各方面,相关数据类型繁多,产生和积累了大量业务数据。但由于目前大部分军工企业的数据标准化体系不健全,导致基础数据质量不高。本文通过借鉴、数据治理等技术,研究构建具备数据治理、数据标准、数据架构、数据安全、数据质量、数据应用等核心能力,三位一体并覆盖装备制造全寿命周期的数据治理体系,同时,依据装备数据管理规范和标准开发面向装备领域的流程化数据治理服务平台,以实施统一编码,打通流程和数据,为装备制造各阶段的信息共享、追溯、统计分析提供数据基础,促进设计研发、生产制造和运营管理的有效集成,从而有效发挥数据效能,提升军工企业的信息化高端收益水平。     

Chain damage effects of multi-spaced plates by reactive jet impact

Chain damage is a new phenomenon that occurs when a reactive jet impacts and penetrates multi-spaced plates.The reactive jet produces mechanical perforations on the spaced plates by its kinetic energy(KE),and then results in unusual chain rupturing effects and excessive structural damage on the spaced plates by its deflagration reaction.In the present study,the chain damage behavior is initially demonstrated by experiments.The reactive liners,composed of 26 wt％Al and 74 wt％PTFE,are fabricated through a pressing and sintering process.Three reactive liner thicknesses of 0.08 CD,0.10 CD and 0.12 CD(charge diameter)are chosen to carry out the chain damage experiments.The results show a chain rupturing phenomenon caused by reactive jet.The constant reaction delay time and the different penetration velocities of reactive jets from liners with different thicknesses result in the variation of the deflagration position,which consequently determines the number of ruptured plates behind the armor.Then,the finite-element code AUTODYN-3D has been used to simulate the kinetic energy only-induced rupturing effects on plates,based on the mechanism of behind armor debris(BAD).The significant discrepancies between simulations and experiments indicate that one enhanced damage mechanism,the behind armor blast(BAB),has acted on the ruptured plates.Finally,a theoretical model is used to consider the BAB-induced enhancement,and the analysis shows that the rupturing area on aluminum plates depends strongly upon the KE only-induced pre-perforations,the mass of reactive materials,and the thickness of plates.     

改善Al对B4C润湿性的研究

依据金属Al的特性及其与B4C相互作用的关系,在理论上分析Al对B4C的润湿性,分析理论润湿性与实际润湿性差异的原因,在此基础上,通过实验寻求改善Al对B4C润湿性的方法和工艺,发现升高温度可以改善润湿性,温度由1 050℃升至1 100℃时,润湿角θ由52°降至23°;在Al中添加小量Mg后,真空1×10-3Pa,温度1 100℃×3 h时Al对B4C润湿角由原来的23°降至9°.     

XNAV中的相对论效应(III)——时空测量值的坐标转换

在文献[1-3]中求得的XNAV基本方程中,时间和距离是指太阳质心系(BCRS)中的坐标量。但在实际测量中,接收机测量的时间是时钟的固有时,接收机的位置一般应以地心系(GCRS)为基准。在相对论框架内完成这两个坐标转换,使得XNAV测量方程能够直接得到应用。最后给出了完整的XNAV高精度测量方程及其在实际测量中的计算过程。     

基于GIS的泥石流灾害系统中数据集成方案

为增强泥石流灾害数据可视化管理系统的兼容性,分析了多源数据集成技术,讨论了泥石流灾害工程中多来源数据和多格式数据的问题,以及在应用系统中对多源数据集成处理的要求,提出以SuperMap结合VC 6．0在基于GIS的泥石流灾害工程应用中实现多源数据集成的一种解决方案,实现了系统中对多来源、多格式数据的集成功能,从而达到了系统能直接访问、处理不同来源空间数据的目标。     

弹道导弹打击航空母舰末制导寻的方法研究

在弹道导弹与航母战斗群的攻防对抗中,弹道导弹需要采用有效的寻的方法以便在对抗中占优势。通过分析航母的运动特性,建立了预测其运动态势的数学模型;在此基础上,采用预测落点的末制导方法,在导弹弹头再入大气层后,通过多次预测和修正,实时修正由于航母运动和再入过程中大气影响等各种干扰因素所引起的落点偏差,以保证弹头能以较好的精度命中目标。从数字仿真结果来看,该方法成功率高,且制导精度较高,具有较强的工程应用价值。